England Vs New Zealand T20 Preview
Written: October 31st 2019
After the final of the Cricket World Cup and a shock when it comes to Rugby Union betting when England’s Rugby side saw off New Zealand in the World Cup Semi-Finals, it could be argued that England has become a bit of a bogey country for New Zealand during 2019. However, this is the first major test of Eoin Morgan’s T20 squad ahead of the World Cup in Australia next year.
|Eoin Morgan ©||Tim Southee ©|
|Jonny Bairstow||Trent Boult|
|Sam Billings||Colin de Grandhomme|
|Pat Brown||Lockie Ferguson|
|Sam Curran||Martin Guptill|
|Tom Curran||Scott Kuggeleijn|
|Joe Denly||Daryl Mitchell|
|Lewis Gregory||Colin Munro|
|Chris Jordan||Jimmy Neesham|
|Saqib Mahmood||Mitchell Santner|
|Dawid Malan||Tim Seifert|
|Matt Parkinson||Ish Sodhi|
|Adil Rashid||Ross Taylor|
|James Vince||Blair Tickner|
Expected Changes and injuries
In regards to players who are expected to only play in part of the series, New Zealand have confirmed that Lockie Ferguson will only feature in the first three games, and will be replaced by Trent Boult for games four and five. Meanwhile, an unfortunate report regarding England’s Adil Rashid is that the leg spinner “couldn’t lift his bowling arm” before the world cup, and although he’s been in recovery for two and a half months, the 31-year old is still in rehab just days before the first T20 of the series meaning that it is highly likely that Rashid will use this time to aid his recovery, and it is very unlikely that England will risk him for much of this series.
New Zealand will also be without captain and World Cup: Player of the series - Kane Williamson for the series.
Since their World Cup defeat to England back in 2016, New Zealand have taken part in 27 T20 fixtures, winning 13 and losing 14. They made the final of the Trans-Tasman Tri-Series but were ultimately defeated by Australia. Playing England twice in that tournament, both of the games were tight and they beat Eoin Morgan’s side by 12 runs in the fourth game, but lost by two runs in the sixth.
Here is a table of all the sides New Zealand have faced since and how they have performed against said teams.
|Opponent||NZ Wins||NZ Losses|
Since the World Cup, England have played 22 T20 ties, and have been on the winning side a total of 12 times, meaning they have suffered defeat in 10 of those games. This gives England a win percentage of 54.54%, which is marginally better than New Zealand‘s win percentage of 48.14%. The one thing we know for certain is that this series will be close and the ICC rankings and ratings are simply unflattering to this New Zealand side.
England Vs New Zealand T20 Head To Head
|Sep 18, 2007,||New Zealand||England||NZ Won by 5 Runs||Durban|
|Feb 5, 2008,||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 32 Runs||Auckland|
|Feb 7, 2008,||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 50 runs||Christchurch|
|Jun 13, 2008,||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 9 wickets||Manchester|
|May 10, 2010,||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 3 wickets||Gros Islet|
|Sep 29, 2012,||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 6 wickets||Pallekele|
|Feb 9, 2013,||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 40 Runs||Auckland|
|Feb 12, 2013,||New Zealand||England||NZ Won by 55 runs||Hamilton|
|Feb 15, 2013,||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 10 wickets||Wellington|
|Jun 25, 2013||New Zealand||England||NZ Won by 5 Runs||The Oval|
|Mar 22, 2014||New Zealand||England||NZ Won by 9 Runs (D/L)||Chattogram|
|Jun 23, 2015||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 56 runs||Manchester|
|Mar 30, 2016,||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 7 wickets||Delhi|
|Feb 13, 2018||New Zealand||England||NZ Won by 12 runs||Wellington|
|Feb 18, 2018||England||New Zealand||ENG Won by 2 runs||Hamilton|
As you can see above in the seven T20 fixtures that these two sides have faced off in, in New Zealand, England have won five and lost only two. However, in the last four meetings between the teams, it stands as an even 2-2 draw. Meaning that this tie could go either way and will go down to the wire.
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Six Betting Tips for the 1st T20
It’s no surprise to see that New Zealand are the favourites on home turf. However, with England’s record in New Zealand, it is quite surprising to see them at evens, if you’re looking for an outright bet, this has the best value for money.
Bairstow kicked off the tour against the New Zealand XI and opened the batting with Tom Banton scoring of 78 from 45 balls. Bairstow is one of the most experienced members of the squad, and Eoin Morgan will be looking for his opener to lead by example. However, if players believe that England’s opening line-up will capitulate due to the New Zealand bowling, then Sam Curran could be a fantastic shout at 14/1 as the youngster picked up an unbeaten 28 from 15 which made him the joint second-highest scorer in the England side and gave him the highest strike rate.
If you can’t see the front four of England performing particularly well but still think England will win then Morgan to win Man of the Match at 12/1 is something that should pique your interest. The captain has a history of stepping up when his side needs him the most, and we believe that in the first match Morgan will have something to prove as he looks to settle the nerves of this young England side.
The brilliant 28-year old is relatively new to international T20 scene, playing just five games so far, he’s bowled an average of 13.50 and took 10 wickets. We expect the New Zealand man to build on his performances at the ODI world cup where he was announced as the Rising Star of the New Zealand squad.
Now at this price, you might be looking at us and thinking: Sorry, what? Who puts a bet on with 2/5 odds. Well, there’s a reason for that, 37 of the last 50 wickets taken in England T20 games have been given out after a catch, and the last time anything other than a catch resulted in the first wicket was back on 3rd July 2018 when Umesh Yadav of India bowled Jason Roy. Who are we to argue with facts?
Although England have gotten the better of New Zealand in 2019, we think the Black Caps will beat England here which you can find at odds of 10/13. However, we predict that a New Zealand player will hit 100, we think it will either be Colin Munro or Martin Guptill, and you can get any player to score a hundred in the first game at 11/2.
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All odds from 21’s online sportsbook are correct at time of writing.
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