Written August 29th 2019
Belgian GP F1 Betting Tips & Preview
F1 is back after the Summer break and so is 21.co.uk’s UK casino resident tipster with another F1 betting preview. Last time out in Hungary it was quite literally a two horse race after Valterri Bottas’ had his front wing clipped by Charles Leclerc on the opening lap following a poor start for the Finn. This left Max Verstappen in a race long battle with Lewis Hamilton which Hamilton won after an inspired call by the Mercedes pitwall to switch to a two stop strategy.
Heading to Belgium, championship leader Hamilton should expect the challenge to come from Leclerc and Vettel, rather than Verstappen. The circuit characteristics at Spa should favour the Ferrari's concept providing them an opportunity to finally get their first win of the season. But who are we backing to claim victory?
Here are our F1 betting tips for the 2019 Belgian grand prix.
Belgian Grand Prix Formula 1 Betting Tips
Belgian Grand Prix Qualifying Tip
As previously stated, the long straights in sector 1 and sector 3 should suit the Ferrari well and so we’re backing them to have a car advantage big enough to mean that one of them should be on pole position. Perhaps surprisingly given he has three wins and three further podiums in Belgium, Sebastian Vettel has only been on pole once here back in 2011 when his Red Bull was dominant. Charles Leclerc managed pole position in both GP3 and F2 and has had the better of Vettel in recent qualifying - even if some of that is reliability related. Add to that Charles Leclerc having two poles to Vettel’s one this season and hence we’re backing Leclerc to make it three poles at F1 betting odds of 11/4.
Belgian Grand Prix Winner Tip
While we’re backing Ferrari to be on pole we feel that they may struggle to convert this into a win. The Ferrari has had difficulty all season with race pace - with them failing to convert any of their three pole positions so far this season into wins. While Bahrain was purely down to reliability, there almost feels an inevitability about them throwing away race winning positions. Hamilton has been the driver most able to take advantage of this uncertainty taking the win in both Canada and Bahrain. He has managed to win two thirds of the races so far this season and is more than capable of qualifying in the top three at least. We feel this means he should add to his eight wins this season, of which six have come when he has not started on pole, and this is available at F1 odds of 7/5.
Where is the Value?
We feel the value this week is in the fastest team qualifying market. While we’re backing Leclerc to beat Vettel in qualifying we feel a much safer bet while still providing value could be backing a Ferrari to qualify on pole. As this bet gives two chances to win, it removes some of the uncertainty that can occur, such as an engine failure or a poorly timed red flag, which can stop a driver putting in a representative qualifying. The only real threat to this, assuming both Ferraris complete qualifying without issues, is a Mercedes driver but the car advantage should be too much for either Hamilton or Bottas to overcome if qualifying is dry as predicted. You can back this tip at F1 odds of 5/6.
Long Shot of the Weekend
For our long shot this week we’re backing the winner to come from the second row. This tip follows similar logic to the Hamilton winning tip where we feel that Ferrari will qualify well but fall back come raceday. While Hamilton should provide a good chance of this bet winning if he starts outside the top two, it could well be the case that any of Verstappen, Bottas, Leclerc or Vettel start 3rd or 4th. Whichever of these drivers start here they all provide a credible chance of winning the grand prix. The long straights combined with DRS should provide good overtaking opportunities, and with F1 betting odds of 5/1 this may well be worth a punt.
Other Belgian Grand Prix Bets of Interest
Alexander Albon starts this grand prix from the back after taking grid penalties for new engine components. This will be his first race since promotion from sister team Toro Rosso to the main Red Bull team so he will be looking to put in a good performance. He should have no trouble making his way through the field, as long as he keeps it clean, meaning he will probably end up sixth at worst. This should provide a good opportunity for a late pitstop in order to take the fastest lap, available at odds of 6/1, and with it the bonus point.
We tipped Perez to achieve top 10 last time in Hungary but he narrowly missed out ending the race in 11th place. The Racing Point has tended to perform better on tracks with longer straights which means this should provide a good opportunity for him to return to the points. Accounting for the fact that multiple teams will be taking grid penalties, he should start higher than usual, so you can see why we’re backing him to finish in the top 10. At F1 odds of 11/4 this could provide good value.
The Belgian GP F1 Betting Tips and Predictions
Here are all of 21.co.uk’s F1 tips for the Belgian Grand Prix.
|Fastest Qualifier||Charles Leclerc||11/4|
|Race Winner||Lewis Hamilton||7/5|
|Qualification Winning Team||Ferrari||5/6|
|Grid Position of Winner||3rd or 4th Place||5/1|
|Race Fastest Lap||Alexander Albon||6/1|
|Top 10 Finish||Sergio Perez||11/4|
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*All odds from 21.co.uk’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
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