Written August 1st 2019
Hungarian GP F1 Betting Tips & Preview
In the final race before the summer break, F1 is heading to Hungary for what promises to be a hotly contested grand prix. Last time out in Germany we witnessed a grand prix that will probably go down as an all time classic as Max Verstappen kept his cool to claim his second victory of the season. It was a bad day at the office for Mercedes who celebrated 125 years of motorsport with an error strewn race. Valterri Bottas’ 22 race consecutive points finishing streak ended with him in the wall and Lewis Hamilton barely extended his to 23 after a disastrous race saw him start from pole position but pit six times. Hungary offers them a chance to bounce back quickly and 21.co.uk’s resident tipster is here with his F1 betting preview.
Here are our F1 betting tips for the 2019 Hungarian grand prix.
Hungarian Grand Prix Formula 1 Betting Tips
Hungarian Grand Prix Qualifying Tip
The layout at the Hungaroring should suit the Mercedes car well, with its short straights and multiple high speed corners. This means that qualifying should effectively be a two horse race between Bottas and Hamilton. Both have achieved four poles this season but Hamilton has out-qualified Bottas on five of the last six occasions. Add to that Hamilton being the all time record holder and we can’t see any reason not to back him to claim his seventh pole position in Hungary at F1 betting odds of 20/23.
Hungarian Grand Prix Winner Tip
If the weather forecast is accurate, it promises to be a demanding race on the cooling of the F1 cars. This means it may be a struggle similar to Austria for Mercedes where they had massive cooling issues and required both drivers to lift and coast due to the scorching track temperatures. While overtaking has always proven difficult in Mogyorod, we feel that the advantage this should give the Red Bull will be too much, especially if the heat leads to multiple stops being the better strategy. While this should also aid Ferrari, the lack of long straights mean that we’re backing Max Verstappen to make it back to back victories at F1 odds of 11/5.
Where is the Value?
We feel as though the value this week is in the E/W market for fastest qualifier. As we discussed previously, we feel this is a two horse race between the Mercedes drivers and so Valtteri Bottas being available at F1 betting odds of 5/1 is good value. With the E/W paying ⅓ the odds for first two places this bet provides a profit as long as Bottas qualifies on the front row. The only realistic threat to this, should Bottas put in a representative time, is Verstappen. The Red Bull shouldn’t be too far behind and so Bottas will need to find a good lap to ensure he is in the first two qualifiers but his qualifying form has been fairly good this year so he may even snatch pole position.
Long Shot of the Weekend
As we are nearing the power hungry track of Spa where teams generally deploy their third engine of the season, it means the current engines are coming to the end of their life cycles. This means we should expect to see some reliability related retirements in Hungary with Verstappen and Vandoorne both suffering this fate this time last year. Romain Grosjean is one of the drivers who is only on his second engine so it could be him this year. Given his history of first lap accidents, the current pressure he is under due to recent poor performances and the likelihood of him coming together with his teammate Kevin Magnussen, we feel that this all adds up to making him being the first retirement worth a punt. At F1 odds of 31/4 we are backing this as our long shot tip for the Hungarian GP.
Other Hungarian Grand Prix Bets of Interest
Racing Point brought a strong upgrade package to Hockenheim which enabled Perez to qualify in the top 10. We think he should be able to do similar in Hungary and, as long as the rain abates, convert that into points on race day. At betting odds of 17/10 this may be decent value.
We’re also backing Sainz to finish in the points. His record around Hungary is relatively strong having finished in the points the last three years and McLaren appear to have a car that is consistently top 10 capable. This may be of interest to punters looking for a F1 bet that is likely with this available at betting odds of 10/19.
The Hungarian GP F1 Betting Tips and Predictions
Here are all of 21.co.uk’s F1 tips for the Hungarian Grand Prix.
|Fastest Qualifier||Lewis Hamilton||20/23|
|Race Winner||Max Verstappen||11/5|
|Fastest Qualifier E/W (⅓ odds, 1-2 places)||Valterri Bottas||5/1|
|First Driver To Retire||Romain Grosjean||31/4|
|Top 10 Finish||Sergio Perez||17/10|
|Top 10 Finish||Carlos Sainz||10/19|
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*All odds from 21.co.uk’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
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