Football Betting Tips
Written: 10th January 2020
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Premier League Predictions - Week 24
Week 23 saw a disappointing contest for both of our experts with VAR having a major say in most of our predictions. In-fact it was such a poor week, TM has taken a holiday to focus on casino games that means that JG is stepping in for the first time since week ten where he defeated ZB in the battle of the back-ups. So after his unbeaten start, TM has brought him in to try and even up the score lines after MG extended his lead to 14-9 last week. So without further ado, let’s get started with this week's Premier League Tips starting with Watford Vs Tottenham Hotspur.
Watford Vs Tottenham Hotspur - Saturday 18th January (12:30)
One of these sides has won four out of five and the other is coming off back-to-back defeats. Now, in most circumstances, you would expect for Spurs to be the in-form side with 17th placed Watford coming off the defeats. However, new managers Nigel Pearson and Jose Mourinho have had contrasting starts on their returns to the Premier League with Watford looking like a side reformed and Spurs looking like, well Spurs...
Can Watford pick up a fourth win on the bounce and possibly move up to 14th, despite being bottom of the table and six points behind 17th at Christmas?
Because this season's Premier League table is so tight, Watford’s brilliant form since Nigel Pearson took over may go unnoticed in a few years when they go on to finish mid-table. I said at the start of the season “You can’t push top ten with that defence, it’s simple as that”. So now they’ve brought in a defensive manager and plugged those gaps, they look like a very decent team, perhaps better than Tottenham right now.
It’s genuinely a little bit of a surprise that Spurs go into this game as favourites, considering the recent performances by the two sides. Watford’s talisman Troy Deeney has scored four goals in his last five Premier League games, and he will be well up for battering this Spurs defence that are low on confidence. The early kick off often throws up difficulties for the bigger sides too.
Arsenal Vs Sheffield United - Saturday 18th January (15:00)
Mikel Arteta has improved Arsenal, there is no doubt in that as he has made them hard to beat. However, they simply haven’t had enough penetration to cause their opponents any problems meanwhile, Chris Wilders’ side have been solid defensively and look like they might hit the 40 point mark very soon. However, they were reasonably lucky against West Ham last time out. Arsenal commonly need to score twice to secure any victory and only Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester City have managed that whilst hosting the Blades this season.
This is a really tough one to call, as Arsenal do seem to be improving under Arteta but Sheffield United have had a much better season. I fancy Chris Wilder’s side to come out of the blocks quickly and grab a goal before the break, as they’ll be perfectly set up to take on a side like Arsenal, with two strikers up top.
I’m very surprised that Sheffield United and a draw are such high odds here. Arsenal have only won 1 Premier League game away from home so far and before the Blades played Man City and Liverpool back-to-back, they were unbeaten away from home for nearly a year. Double Chance is evens but I’m very confident neither side will win here.
Brighton & Hove Albion Vs Aston Villa - Saturday 18th January (15:00)
One thing that we have noticed about Brighton is that although they are playing better football, they aren’t necessarily picking up results. However, this is the start of an excellent run of games for them and if they can put together a string of wins and avoid replicating Bournemouth and putting together their worst run of form in their easiest run of games they should be fine. Meanwhile, the less said about Aston Villa - the better.
This might be the week where I just constantly refer back to how right I was at the start of the season but then again, I think the majority of people knew that 2019/20 Aston Villa were very likely to be the 2018/19 Fulham. Their spending has definitely been wiser than Fulham’s but their three best players were actually signed when they were in the Championship! I think they’ll get something here.
Despite what certain corners of the media will say, Aston Villa have been poor so far this season. The hammering by Man City was a long time coming and a lot of their players just aren’t good enough to be quite honest. Brighton, although they look a lot better, are only three points ahead. Both sides have danger men, so I think there could be goals.
Manchester City Vs Crystal Palace - Saturday 18th January (15:00)
Whenever you begin to think that Manchester City are beginning to pick up a head of steam and they might just go on an unstoppable run and end up getting beat. This happened when they played Liverpool and recently against Wolves, this week they face one side who actually beat them at the Etihad last time they played there - Crystal Palace.
It will be interesting to see who gets Pep’d this week and dropped to the bench. It was Raheem Sterling last time but Pep Roulette could target any of their star men. Crystal Palace have had a number of defensive injuries over the past month or so and Man City looked ruthless and relentless against Aston Villa. It could be a very long afternoon for the Eagles.
The playmaker to score from outside the box is a bet that I absolutely adore and one I correctly predicted the only time I’ve used it in this series. James Maddison Vs Newcastle. Why? Because when a team sits back and tries to defend, it is very hard to break them down and when ten men are behind the ball, the playmaker often attempts to have a pot-shot and see what happens, These are often saved but we wouldn’t be surprised if KDB scored here.
Norwich City Vs AFC Bournemouth - Saturday 18th January (15:00)
The two out-of-form teams in the Premier League go head-to-head here. There is no doubt that both of these sides need the points and they won’t get a better chance to pick up all three points than they will against each other. Bournemouth have won just one of their last eleven Premier League games and Norwich have won just one out of the 17 games they’ve played in the league since their 3-2 win over Manchester City.
Can I back neither side to get a point? No? Well, I’m stumped. I guess Norwich have played well in a lot of games despite not picking up the points, while Bournemouth have been dreadful. So, I'll go with that.
It is the old six pointer yet again as bottom of the league faces second bottom. Daniel Farke has confirmed that Teemu Pukki is fit again for this game, fresh off being named Finnish Athlete of the Year this week. I think he may grab a crucial goal against a very poor and slow Bournemouth defence.
Southampton Vs Wolves - Saturday 18th January (15:00)
Since their back-to-back defeats against West Ham and Newcastle in mid-December. Southampton are unbeaten in seven games and have won six of those against the likes of Leicester, Spurs and Chelsea. Wolves, on the other hand, will have been disappointed to only draw at home to Newcastle last week and had a tough tie at Old Trafford in the FA Cup on Wednesday. It’s no surprise that the Saints are the favourites going into this one.
This is the kind of game Wolves will struggle in, similar to their loss away at Watford a few games ago. In terms of which bet I’m going to go for, it’s an obvious one. Danny Ings has scored an incredible 10 goals in his last 10 Premier League starts, suggesting that he’ll grab another here and who would put it past him?
Southampton have picked up some very big wins in recent times and they’ve done so not just by utilising Danny Ings but also by being stern in defence. That being said, the Saints still have an absolutely dreadful home record. If you’re looking for my banker bet of the week, this is it.
West Ham United Vs Everton - Saturday 18th January (15:00)
The David Moyes derby at it’s finest! The Scot currently manages West Ham and hasn’t done a bad job since taking the reins. They won 4-0 and 2-0 in their opening games under Moyes and were very unlucky to lose 1-0 against Sheffield United after the VAR incident. Unfortunately, he comes up against one of the greatest managers in history Carlo Ancelotti. Who has had a steady start to life at Everton but had the massive disappointment of his side losing to a second-string Liverpool side in the FA Cup.
A little stat: Carlo Ancelotti has never beaten David Moyes in six attempts (3 Defeats, 3 Draws). That is a stat that I could see ending on Saturday, however, when you consider both sides have scored in all but one game between the two. This seems like the only logical bet.
I’m sorry to say again it’s Moysey. It will be interesting to see how the travelling Everton supporters react to their former boss. On the pitch, a team that includes Mark Noble and Pablo Zabaleta are always likely to pick up a yellow card or two, and I’m expecting them to need to put a foot in as Everton dominate posession.
Newcastle United Vs Chelsea - Saturday 18th January (17:30)
Newcastle surprised everyone including our experts by picking up a draw against Wolves at the weekend. However, Chelsea also had a good weekend after demolishing a Burnley side who still had a number of good chances and could have easily scored against Frank Lampard’s side. Chelsea won the game as Stamford Bridge 1-0 in what was a very tight contest. Newcastle tend to play quite well at home and could cause an upset here.
When you spend £40 million on a striker, you probably expect more than one Premier League goal at this stage of the season. However, the Brazilian seems like a confidence player and after ending a long drought in the FA Cup against Rochdale, I have an odd feeling that he may find the back of the net again, similar to when his teammate Miguel Almiron grabbed his first goal.
In the reverse fixture, Newcastle sat back and allowed Chelsea to come onto them and we expect the same to happen again here. However, Newcastle will likely attack Chelsea a lot more at home so this game will likely come down to how well Chelsea can counter-attack, the Newcastle United counter-attack. Considering this, I’ll go with a low-scoring affair.
Burnley Vs Leicester City - Sunday 19th January (14:00)
Burnley need to pick up a win soon. After four defeats in a row, they are falling down the table at a rapid pace and with Watford and West Ham two of the three teams between them and 18th, it isn’t unlikely that they drop to within a place of relegation by the time they face fellow relegation rivals Bournemouth on February 22nd. That being said, this Leicester side have picked up 6 points from a possible 15 and have just lost 2-1 to in-form Southampton. So perhaps a shock isn’t as unlike as we might think.
Burnley may be without Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes for the visit of Leicester City and in my opinion this game will only go one way despite the poor form of the Foxes. This will be a tight contest but I have to think it’ll be a Leicester win.
I agree with MG on the fact that this game can surely only go one way. Burnley are awful at the moment and the football phone-ins are filled with Clarets fans that are worried for their sides future. I’m backing Leicester to run riot at Turf Moor.
Liverpool Vs Manchester United - Sunday 19th January (16:30)
The big game of the weekend sees Liverpool take on a Manchester United side that could be without Marcus Rashford. The England striker will definitely play if fit but his absence would be a major blow as United look to be the first side to defeat Liverpool in the Premier League this season. They tend to have a good record against their Merseyside opponents and have only lost one of the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Mo Salah has never scored against Manchester United and he will be absolutely desperate to break that duck here. He’s also prolific at Anfield specifically, and against a weak Red Devils defence I believe he will be looking to find the target at every opportunity.
I actually had in my mind what I wanted to go for here. Until, I looked at 21.co.uk’s more advanced player bets and saw the shots bets for Sadio Mane, Roberto Firmino and Mohamed Salah, let me take you back to Anfield last season where they had 36 shots and Firmino had nine of them.
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