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Football Betting Tips - Premier League Analysis - Part One

Premier League Analysis Part One

The 2019/2020 Premier League season has the potential to be one of the biggest in recent history with the Liverpool - Man City feud for the title continuing on from last season and the burning desire for either side to get one over on the other is hotter than ever. Squads like Wolves and Everton realistically aren’t too far off from being the standard of a top-six club and realistically you wouldn’t be surprised if any out of 11 teams ended up relegated in May. 21.co.uk is the best place to find offers in and around sports betting for the upcoming campaign and in this article, you can find our analysis and betting tips for AFC Bournemouth, Arsenal, Aston Villa and Brighton, so without further ado let's get started with the Cherries.

AFC Bournemouth

When you look at Bournemouth’s starting XI, it’s tough to view them as anything but the established Premier League side they now are. This will be their fifth consecutive season in the top flight and arguably they’re stronger than ever with younger players like Lewis Cook, Jordon Ibe and David Brooks getting better and better with every game and some of their more experienced players grasping the opportunities to play weekly in the Premier League.

Squad Analysis

When you look at the Bournemouth squad, they are a well-rounded side who really should stay up this season. However, with teams sniffing around the likes of Cook, Callum Wilson and Ryan Fraser then Bournemouth’s squad could have a very different look to it by the time the transfer window closes. That being said, if they don’t sell their top players and keep Wilson fit, there is no reason why the Cherries can’t push for top ten and have a domestic cup run. The trick, in this case, will definitely be keeping Callum Wilson fit, who last time-round was their top goalscorer with 14 Premier League goals.

Bournemouth to finish top ten: 3/1

Arrivals and Departures

Before we get started on their arrivals, in terms of player departures, this is the greatest transfer window Bournemouth have ever had. Tyrone Mings and Lys Mousset were both introduced at the club as young stars who could be fantastic but realistically, they’ve subsequently flopped with Mings making just 17 appearances in four years and Mousset scoring just 3 goals in 58 Premier League appearances. Yet they have still made approximately 16 million pounds profit. In terms of arrivals, it’s very much what you would expect from Bournemouth, as young Premier League standard talent has been bought with Philip Billing, Lloyd Kelly and Jack Stacey.

Where can they improve?

Let's be honest, Eddie Howe is a very intelligent man, if there’s an issue with his squad, he’ll fix it or he will at least have some ideas for improvement. We believe that Bournemouth’s main issue may come from their style of play, with Howe’s side being primarily a very attacking side, their defence - especially last season was left severely lacking. Only Fulham and Huddersfield conceded more goals than the Cherries in 2018/19. They’re a team you wouldn’t be surprised if they beat Manchester City at the Etihad but then lost 4-0 at Bramall Lane.

Predicted Finish

Here at 21.co.uk, we believe that Bournemouth are very likely to replicate one of their previous campaigns but it won’t be their highest ever finish, we believe they’ll start the campaign well then decline slowly about a third of the way into the season before finishing strongly and shooting back up the table.

Our predicted finish: 12th

21.co.uk’s Online Betting odds:

To Be Relegated: 9/2

Top ten finish: 3/1

Arsenal

Next up comes Unai Emery’s Arsenal and we believe this has to be a good year for Arsenal, their aim this season has to be top four, with Chelsea under a transfer embargo and Manchester United focusing primarily on youth this year. Losing out to either of those sides who are evidently in a transition stage, would be a disaster for the club.

Squad Analysis

When you look at the Arsenal squad, there’s some positions that are full of quality, there are others that are pretty poor and there are also some that have been made scapegoats, some have deserved it, others haven’t but a return of clarity and stability is exactly what Arsenal need right now and with a strike partnership of Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette, the Gunners can afford one or two lapses in defence.

Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang to be the Premier League’s top scorer: 7/1

Arrivals and Departures

Arsenal’s current signings look great, with Dani Ceballos likely to be starting next season. The Nicolas Pepe signing is also a huge coup for the club but that could mean we’ll see Reiss Nelson leave the club on loan again this season. In terms of departures, Arsenal have gotten rid of some deadwood but also lost Aaron Ramsey in the process, which could be a killer blow to their Champions League qualification hopes.

How can they improve

Emery is fixing Arsenal’s problems one at a time but is having to do it on a budget which may end badly but in regards to this season, we think that if Arsenal can secure the signature of Nicolas Pepe, they would only need a back-up goalkeeper and centre-back to be a danger this season. We would also suggest that Mesut Ozil left the club due to the fact he has evidently become a scapegoat for when Arsenal underperform.

Predicted Finish

Upon reading this, you may think we at the office think quite negatively of Arsenal, it's in-fact the opposite, we find it so frustrating that a team who attempt to play good football are let down by sometimes idiotic mistakes by key players. Thankfully, the rumours of the likes of Aubameyang leaving have disappeared and we don’t think the Emirates will be a transfer haven before the start of the season.

Our Predicted Finish - 5th.

21.co.uk’s Online Betting odds:

To Win The Carabao Cup 11/1

To Win The FA Cup - 10/1

To Finish Top 4 - 5/4

Aston Villa

First up, a big welcome back to the Premier League for Aston Villa, it’s mad to think a third of the way into the Championship last season they were 16th. Now they are promoted and already they haven’t been scared of reaping the rewards of their promotion with Brazilian Wesley being the main acquisition at a price to £22 million. Out of all their signings the most impressive is Burnley stopper Tom Heaton who will add much-needed experience to their back line.

Squad Analysis

There is a reason that a tonne of football fans are comparing Villa’s spending spree to that of Fulham’s and that is simply because there are a lot of similarities in squads. Villa’s most exciting signings are in-fact unproven and those they’ve brought in defensively haven’t had much or any experience in the Premier League and if they don’t adapt immediately, Villa will be in trouble.

Arrivals and Departures

To adapt to the Premier League, you need to improve your squad and that’s exactly what Villa have done. With players like Wesley and Jota joining the club, there’s no doubt about the attacking talent in their front four but I can’t see one Villa defender getting into the squads of their relegation rivals which is a worry. In-terms of departures, Villa have finally gotten some of their bigger wages off the wage bill, the finance department of Villa will be ecstatic if they never see the name Ross McCormack again.

How can they improve

We’ve seen a number of times over the years, the Kevin Keegan style of ‘It doesn’t matter how many you score, we’ll score more.’ doesn’t work in modern-day football. It didn’t work for Blackpool and it definitely didn’t work for Fulham last season. This means that Dean Smith needs to get more defenders in as soon as possible because a leader at the back can be the difference between relegation without a fight and survival without a battle.

Predicted Finish

I think with the three promoted clubs whether they stay up or not will very much depend on whether they start the campaign well or not. I feel out of those teams Villa have the nicest schedule across the first ten games. Dean Smith has worked wonders with the squad since his arrival and I think that his hard work will carry over into next season. We think Villa will be in the market to sign another defender and it’ll pay off by May, they’ll be engulfed in a relegation battle but we think they’ll have enough to get out of it.

Our Predicted Finish - 16th

21.co.uk’s Online Betting odds:

To be Relegated: 2/1

To survive: 10/27

Brighton

The Football world was split when Brighton announced that Chris Hughton had left the club and many still suspect that the decision will come to bite Brighton and they’ll suffer relegation. However, since then the club have brought in Graham Potter who did an alright job during his first year in England at Swansea City last campaign.

Squad Analysis

There’s only so many years a Premier League team can rely on an ageing Glenn Murray to contribute the goals to their campaign. Brighton are blessed in terms of creative wingers and some will argue that because of Hughton's’ tactics the likes of Antony Knockaert, Jose Izquierdo and Alireza Jahanbakhsh perhaps didn’t have their desired impact last season. We’ve seen in that Brighton’s defence is good enough to soak up pressure and win the big games but now Brighton need to take the pressure off their defenders and start scoring goals.

Brighton to finish bottom - 13/2

Arrivals and Departures

Matt Clarke looks like one for the future in the Brighton defence after immediately heading on loan to Derby County. Graham Potter will be desperately hoping to keep the partnership of Duffy and Dunk together to give him huge confidence in his back-line. Given the success or lack of from the likes of Izquierdo, we were surprised to see Brighton throw another £18 million at a Belgian club for another left-winger especially when he has the job of replacing Knockaert.

Predicted Finish

For us, Brighton are one of five teams we couldn’t decide upon to take up 18th & 19th place in the Premier League, one of those teams you’ve already seen and there’s three more to come in later parts but when it comes to Brighton we’re afraid Graham Potter won’t get the best out of his squad from an offensive point of view and Brighton will be the club that falls in the long multi-team relegation battle.

Our Predicted Finish 18th.

21.co.uk Online Betting odds:

To survive: 4/9

To Be Relegated: 19/10

*All 21.co.uk betting odds are correct at time of writing

Our Grade

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