Premier League Predictions - Week Three
Written: 23rd August 2019
Once again, VAR took centre stage in the second week of the Premier League and we’re beginning to think that markets on how many goals VAR will disallow in a gameweek is worth considering. However, here at 21.co.uk we’ll be giving you our football betting predictions and top football betting tips for the upcoming season. We’ll even end each article with an accumulator of the week, picked from our online betting markets and sports odds where we’ll pick one game from the Premier League, Championship and Leagues 1&2 to create a 4-fold accumulator.
We’re in the third week of the Premier League and we’ve seen a number of teams demonstrate that they could possibly shock teams and a number of teams have demonstrated exactly how poor they’re going to be for the rest of the season. Which makes some of our predictions at this stage a lot harder and some that we need to make a little more challenging.
This is the third week of our Premier League Predictions and this time around we’re starting at Villa Park for Friday Night Football!
Aston Villa Vs Everton - Friday August 23, 20:00
Friday Night Football sees the only team in the Premier League yet to concede take on one of only four sides who haven’t picked up a point yet as Everton travel to Villa Park. The Toffees have been fairly solid in their opening two games but know that they will have to do a bit better than they managed in their last away game if they are going to come back from the Midlands will all three points.
Aston Villa have some quality in their ranks, and they have to win eventually. Everton look a little bit unsure of themselves, and I think in their quest to secure a convincing morale-boosting win, they’ll leave themselves exposed at the back. Villa to edge it.
After nailing my prediction in the early kick-off last week, I’m determined to do the same here. However, I admittedly haven’t gotten a Villa or Everton prediction right yet. So to try and end that I’m going with a favourite of mine.
Norwich City Vs Chelsea - Saturday 24 August, 12:30
Last week was a landmark week for both these sides. However, it definitely won’t feel that way for Chelsea fans. Both these sides picked up their first points of the season, Norwich was their first Premier League points since May 11, 2016 and for Chelsea it was their first point under Frank Lampard. This however, is the definition of a must-win game for Chelsea as a Chelsea manager not winning one of their first four games in charge is virtually unheard of and might see Frank Lampard on the receiving end of a backlash.
Have any Championship strikers taken to the Premier League as well as Teemu Pukki this season? I certainly can’t remember any and I think there’s a good chance that the striker will score once again this week. However, in the first half against Leicester, Chelsea looked fantastic and I’d probably put their second half performance down to a bit of fatigue.
I’ve been impressed with Norwich, and while Pukki’s been grabbing the headlines, they have a squad capable of challenging any form of opposition. Chelsea are still finding their feet under Lampard, and Norwich will prey on that instability.
Brighton Vs Southampton - Saturday August 24, 15:00
Southampton nearly snuck a draw against Liverpool at the weekend but it is worth noting that the only goal they’ve scored so far was assisted by the opposition goalkeeper. However, they’ve always had a decent record against Brighton and haven’t lost in their four Premier League meetings. However, Brighton are a completely different side to the one Southampton have faced previously.
Brighton have had a tremendous start to the season, while Southampton gave a good account of themselves in patches against Liverpool. Both sides will think they can win this, so I expect goals.
I thought Brighton were a little unlucky to only draw last week and the bright spell at the end of the Liverpool game will give Southampton confidence. I think the betting market is definitely directed towards a Brighton win. However, for me there was one price, I couldn’t turn down.
Manchester United Vs Crystal Palace - Saturday August 24, 15:00
These two sides couldn’t have had more contrasting starts to the season, Palace haven’t scored a goal yet this season and only a shutout at home to ten man Everton gave them a point at the start of the season. Meanwhile, Manchester United will be full of confidence after starting the season with two good results.
On form and paper, Manchester United should be dominating this game and potentially putting together another 4-0 victory. However, after a humiliating and rather gutless defeat to Sheffield United last week, I think Palace will be up for this and cause a few problems to United but it won’t be enough to take anything away from Old Trafford.
Manchester United have surprised me so far, and I think they’re due a slip-up. With the added element of bad blood following the Aaron Wan-Bissaka’s move to the Red Devils, I legitimately think Palace could get something here.
Sheffield United Vs Leicester City
Chris Wilder’s men have picked up two fantastic results to start off their Premier League campaign, meanwhile Leicester have probably had the toughest start of any side this season and have come out of their first two games unbeaten with just one goal conceded. Impressive, but it’s time to see how Leicester manage breaking down a team who would likely take a draw at this point.
Sheffield United have looked good since their return to the top flight, but so have Leicester. This is a tough one to call, but I think Leicester’s experience will see them take all three points here.
Let’s be honest, this score could be absolutely anything. Both sides seem defensively sound but Leicester will view this as a game they should win and with the game being played at Bramall Lane, we could be in for a goalfest but I fancy Leicester to claim the three points.
Watford Vs West Ham United - Saturday August 24, 15:00
You could argue that these two sets of supporters will be the most disappointed with their starts to the Premier League, Watford have looked diabolical and West Ham have started the season like West Ham always do. Typically these two sides are fantastic offensively but awful defensively, so far this season both sides only fit into one of those narratives.
When you looked at West Ham’s first two games, I think you could possibly overlook the fact they’ve got one point, Watford on the other hand have started the season very poorly and need to bounce back again here. They’re one of only two teams not to score a goal yet this season. Luckily for the Hornets, I can definitely see that changing here.
Not a great start for either of these sides this season, and I think they’ll either both play defensively, or waste their chances. 2 goals or fewer seems a good bet to me, and you can even get 11/1 on there to be none.
Liverpool Vs Arsenal - Saturday August 24, 17:30
Two Premier League giants collide as Liverpool host Arsenal in a tie which should provide goals and realistically has to be the game of the week. There have been 20 goals in the last four games between the sides at Anfield with Arsenal picking up a solitary point back in January 2016. Both sides have started the season strongly and are the only two teams in the league with a 100% record after two games.
I’ve spent a lot of time thinking about this one, and hesitantly I’ve decided it might be too early in the season for this to be a classic, high-scoring game. You’d expect Liverpool to beat Arsenal, but football is rarely so simple, so I’ll back a draw.
GOAL! We’ll probably be hearing that about five times in the Saturday night game. Personally, I’d love to see a repeat of the 3-3 back in January 2016 and honestly, I think we’ll see just as many goals this time round. Especially in the first half!
Bournemouth Vs Manchester City - Sunday, August 25, 14:00
When Manchester City travel to Bournemouth history suggests that there’s only one way that this game could go. Since Bournemouth were promoted Dean Court has seen this fixture happen four times with City coming away victorious every time with an aggregate scoreline of 1-9. The typical leaky defence of Bournemouth tends to handle the City front-line better than most recently but they’ve failed to take any points off the champions since their promotion.
Bournemouth put in a much improved performance against Aston Villa but if we are completely honest, Manchester City should be far too strong for the Cherries at the moment and they’ll extend their win streak over the South Coast side to nine games.
Bournemouth might not quite have cemented ‘giant-killing’ status in their four seasons in the Premier League, but they have certainly troubled the big teams on a few occasions. I think they might get the first goal here, but City have the quality to turn it around.
Tottenham Hotspur Vs Newcastle United - Sunday, August 25, 16:30
These two sides could not have had more contrasting starts to the season. Spurs have been excellent picking up a win against Aston Villa and picking up a result at the Etihad Stadium last weekend. Meanwhile, Newcastle were perhaps unlucky to lose against Arsenal on the first day of the season but were absolutely demolished by Norwich City at the weekend. At this point it has to be said anything but a Spurs win may be considered an upset.
Newcastle are woeful, Tottenham will have chances, so for me it all comes down to Martin Dubravka. If the Newcastle goalkeeper’s head is in the right place, he can at least keep the result respectable, but if the morale is down this could be a cricket score.
As a club I’m actually a big fan of Newcastle United, they’ve got largely a fantastic and loyal fanbase but it’s clear their patience has run out and you can see the fans and the senior players are deflated. Meanwhile, Spurs are on the up and could be title contenders if they consistently beat the smaller teams. They dropped 15 points to teams 10th and lower last season, which would have given them 86 points last season, enough to win or at least be joint top of the league in 11/27 Premier League seasons.
Wolves Vs Burnley - Sunday, August 25, 16:30
Two sides that have looked solid in their opening two games, Wolves will be looking to put their disappointing form against the teams in the bottom half behind them after dropping 36 points from 60 against the bottom half sides last season. However, in this fixture last year Wolves dominated the game having 30 shots to Burnley’s nine but could only pick up a 1-0 victory. Demonstrating a real struggle to break down more defensive teams.
I can happily say that I’ve gotten both of my Wolves predictions correct so far and I am fairly confident it will be three in a row with this game. Wolves have drawn their first two games and will look at this game as a must win. Burnley on the other hand, have started well and will be looking to sneak a draw but there’s one aspect of this game that I believe may be absolutely certain.
Wolves still look like the side we saw last season, with plenty of attacking quality and threat. However, after two draws I can see them going all out to get the win here, and Burnley could capitalise on the break.
Accumulator of the Week
There are some fantastic games this week which means the potential football betting markets on 21.co.uk are available. After two weeks of narrowly missing out on winners markets by one penalty both times, we have decided to go down a different route. This week's bet is a Both Teams to Score, however, as Both Teams to Score is typically a low odds bet, we’re going to add two more selections than usual, one from the National League and one from any of the five English Leagues.
Watford Vs West Ham - BTTS - 5/8
Huddersfield Vs Reading - BTTS - 4/5
Shrewsbury Vs Burton Albion - BTTS - 20/27
Carlisle United Vs Salford City - BTTS - 20/27
Bromley Vs Boreham Wood - BTTS - 20/29
Rochdale Vs Blackpool - BTTS - 5/7
Odds: 24/1 - £5 returns £128.10
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All odds from the 21.co.uk online sportsbook are correct at time of writing.
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