Written: 29 August 2019
Premier League Predictions - Week Four
VAR… The technology equivalent of Zlatan Ibrahimovic in the way that it just can’t keep out of the media spotlight, for reasons good or bad. Nevertheless, we’re sick and tired of writing about VAR so we can only imagine what it’s like for our readers! Here at 21.co.uk, we’ll be giving you our football betting predictions and top football betting tips for the upcoming season. We’ll even end each article with an accumulator of the week, picked from our online betting markets and sports odds where we’ll pick one game from the Premier League, Championship and Leagues 1&2 to create a 4-fold accumulator.
In what is the last round of fixtures before the international break, every manager will stress the importance of picking up an important result to push on and provide momentum for the weeks ahead. This is especially important considering last week saw some shock results and the fact that some sides simply haven’t made it into first gear yet, never mind second! However, the battle between our writers looks set to be closer than last seasons title race as last week saw TM recover to tie the series at 1-1-1.
This is our fourth week of Premier League Predictions and this time around we’re starting off with Southampton Vs Manchester United in Saturday’s early kick-off.
Southampton Vs Manchester United - Saturday, August 30th, 12:30
Last week was conflicting for both these sides as Southampton picked up their first points of the season with an impressive 0-2 victory against Brighton, meanwhile, Manchester United were left deflated as a last-minute Crystal Palace winner condemned them to defeat. There were nine goals in the two games between the two sides last season
If this game were at Old Trafford, I’d back Manchester United to edge it by the odd goal. I think they’ll be wary of the underdog following last weekend’s result, and Southampton will take a point.
It will be interesting to see how Southampton cope at St Mary’s as it’s difficult to judge based off their performance against Liverpool. Unfortunately, in this case, I agree with TM that the most likely outcome is to be a draw but let’s be honest, it’d be a shock if either of these sides kept a clean sheet. Therefore, I’m going to tweak his bet slightly and go for…
Chelsea Vs Sheffield United - Saturday, August 30th, 15:00
Last week both of these sides were in competitive matches which saw one side come out on top and another just fall short. Chelsea looked fantastic offensively but were an absolute disaster in defence. Meanwhile, Chris Wilder made some unusual comments regarding his side's defeat at home to Leicester who needed a Harvey Barnes wonder strike to sink the Blades.
I think with Chelsea’s defence, I’d fancy Sheffield United to have 3-4 decent chances in the game and if they fall to the right players, they’ll score. However, Frank Lampard’s trust in Tammy Abraham and Mason Mount was justified when they beat Norwich and I’d expect them to lift those around them again this week.
There’s something about Chelsea that adds an air of unpredictability in the early stages of this season. They got an impressive win at Norwich, but I think they might underestimate the opposition here. The Blades will take something, in my book, and while I’d be tempted by the 35/4 you can get on an away win, I’ll back a draw.
Crystal Palace Vs Aston Villa - Saturday, August 30th, 15:00
Both of these sides picked up fantastic wins this past weekend. Aston Villa picked up a 2-0 victory over Everton in the Friday Night Game meanwhile Crystal Palace picked up a superb win at Old Trafford thanks to a winning goal from Patrick Van Aanholt. Both of these sides will be high from momentum and this could result in absolutely anything.
Both of these teams may have gotten the result required to kick-start their season. Crystal Palace are lacking something in my opinion, so I think Aston Villa will edge this, with Wesley looking like an important player for them.
Big results for both these sides at the weekend. However, I think they’ll both come down to earth with a rather boring game this weekend.
Leicester City Vs AFC Bournemouth - Saturday, August 30th, 15:00
Outside of Manchester City and Liverpool, Leicester City are the only side without a defeat so far in the Premier League. Which is mighty impressive for Brendan Rodgers side, especially when you consider they have already played Chelsea and Wolves. Meanwhile, Harry Wilson has been the bright spark for a very youthful Bournemouth squad who will be content with their start so far.
Leicester are typically a side that don’t score too many goals but Bournemouth’s defence has more leaks than Manchester United, so I fully expect both sides to score but Leicester to win. However, the lack of goals in the Leicester side has me convinced on one particular score.
I see this going a similar way to MG, but I lack the confidence to predict an exact score. A home win with both teams scoring seems the most likely outcome, so that’s what I’m happy to back.
Manchester City Vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Saturday, August 30th, 15:00
The Champions of England host Graham Potter’s Brighton who suffered their first defeat of the season against Southampton last week and you would think anything but a second defeat of the season will be an absolute miracle for the Seagulls. Manchester City are the only side in the division to have reached double figures for goals scored after three games but Brighton have only conceded three goals so far this season, the same amount as both Manchester sides and Liverpool, so it’s clear they won’t be going down without a fight.
Man City are staking their claim to the title once again, and will view Brighton as an easy target. I actually think Brighton will score first, but that will see the home side respond like a wounded animal, and score a bundle of goals in reply.
Is there a more in-form player in Europe’s top five leagues than Raheem Sterling? The 24-year-old has carried on his electric form of 2018/19 and continued it this season and has already bagged 5 goals this season. I’m not going to suggest he could score 30+ this season, but I certainly wouldn’t bet against it.
Newcastle United Vs Watford - Saturday, August 30th, 15:00
The Premier League’s bottom two go head-to-head at St James’ Park this weekend and on Saturday night, you would have believed that this fixture would end up being the first points on the board for either side. However, Newcastle delivered an incredibly hard-fought victory against Tottenham on Sunday and dispelled any belief that they weren’t fighting hard enough for Steve Bruce. Meanwhile, Javi Gracia is looking down the barrel and Watford will need to pick up at least a point before going into a dreadful September where they face Arsenal, Manchester City and Wolves.
I was incredibly impressed with Newcastle on Sunday. However, if you caught a look at their side at Full-Time they were absolutely knackered and on Tuesday; Steve Bruce announced that six players would miss their Carabao Cup game with knocks. Meanwhile, Watford need something here and I think they’ll get it with the expectation on Newcastle.
Sunday felt like an off-day for Tottenham, more than a superb Newcastle display for me, and I think they’ll struggle to replicate the result. Watford need something, that much is clear, and I think they’ll win. Andre Gray will get a goal.
West Ham United Vs Norwich City - Saturday, August 30th, 15:00
At the start of the season, if you told most people that the Premier League’s top scorer was involved in this game, they’d have very likely thought you meant Sebastian Haller. However, Teemu Pukki has been inspired this season and with two of the leakiest defences in the Premier League season going against each other, I don’t think there is any scoreline that would surprise fans this weekend.
I could sum this all up in three words; Norwich will win. West Ham have been one of the most inconsistent teams of recent years, and Norwich have nothing to lose at the London Stadium, so it has to be the Canaries for me.
If you spy a market on Saturday that backs both Pukki and Haller to score I’d suggest it. However, this isn’t a market that’s available as we’re writing this, therefore, I’m going to go with something different.
Burnley Vs Liverpool - Saturday, August 30th, 17:30
We’re three games into the Premier League season and only one of these sides has a clean sheet. You’d be surprised to know it isn’t Liverpool who go into this game averaging a score of 3-1 this season. Adrian hasn’t made any mistakes that have cost Liverpool points yet but if this game is tight, Liverpool fans will be nervous with the Spaniard in goal. Especially with the in-form Ashley Barnes as clinical as he has been this season.
Goals, Glorious Goals! If this week doesn’t contain at least one game with 5+ goals I’ll be surprised. Mind, I don’t think this game will be the game for it. I think this will be the most even Premier League game Liverpool have had this season but they will still edge it.
It wouldn’t be a 21.co.uk Premier League Prediction without an outlandish TM bet or two. With this in mind, I think Burnley will frustrate Liverpool, and grind out a shock draw.
Everton Vs Wolves - Sunday, September 1st, 14:00
In what is without a doubt the evenest games on paper this week are on Sunday, firstly, Everton take on Wolves at Goodison Park in the televised game in-between the Old Firm and North London Derby. Neither side have been particularly impressive in the League but Wolves’ have looked fantastic in the Europa League which is clearly going to be their focus this season. The biggest question for this game is how badly will the Europa League impact Wolves?
My inclination is that this will be a 2-2 draw. Both sides have strong attacking prowess, but I think they could be hit on the break. Perfect scores are always tough though, so I’ll go with a simpler prediction for this one.
If Wolves didn’t have a tough game against Torino on Thursday, I’d back them to pick up something from Goodison Park on Sunday. However, we’ve all seen the hangover that the Europa League leaves on thin squads and despite Wolves adding some depth to their squad in the transfer window, they’ll still suffer. If Everton play with intent, they win this one.
Arsenal Vs Tottenham - Sunday, September 1st, 16:30
Last but certainly not least we have the North London Derby, Arsenal Vs Tottenham. Some argue that the powers of change have shifted to Spurs but Arsenal fans maintain that until Spurs win a trophy, they will always be in the Gunners shadow. Both these sides will be looking for a win to bounce back from defeats last week and best believe we’re in for a superb Super Sunday with this instant classic as the main event.
Let’s be honest, Spurs could have played for another 45 minutes and still not scored against Newcastle at the weekend. Meanwhile, Arsenal were beaten by Liverpool but their performance was a lot more respectable than it has been in previous years and with some better finishing they could have gotten something out of that game. Arsenal are the favourites for me and there’s always going to be goals!
From a prediction point of view, I hate the North London derby. Arsenal have started the season fairly well, Tottenham have had questions asked of them, so we know which way this one is going to go...
|Fixture||MG's Tip||TM's Tip|
|Southampton Vs Man United||Draw with Goals (3/1)||DRAW (47/20)|
|Chelsea Vs Sheffield United||Chelsea To Win + BTTS||DRAW (4/1)|
|Crystal Palace Vs Aston Villa||Exact Score: 0-0 (35/4)||Aston Villa to Win (47/20)|
|Leicester Vs Bournemouth||Exact Score: 2-1 (8/1)||Leicester To Win + BTTS (39/20)|
|Man City Vs Brighton||Sterling to Score 1st (11/4)||City to score over 3.5 goals (23/20)|
|Newcastle Vs Watford||DRAW (43/20)||Gray to Score Anytime (12/5)|
|West Ham Vs Norwich||Over 2.5 Goals 1st Half (4/1)||Norwich to Win (59/20)|
|Burnley Vs Liverpool||Liverpool to Win & BTTS (17/10)||DRAW (17/4)|
|Everton Vs Wolves||Exact Score: 2-1 (35/4)||Over 2.5 goals (5/4)|
|Arsenal Vs Tottenham||Arsenal to win, Over 3.5 goals (9/2)||Tottenham to Win (19/10)|
Accumulator of the Week
There are some weeks when you put on an Accumulator and you just have to accept it wasn’t your week, for us that was week three. However, this week seems ideal for a Both Teams to Score bet and we’re hoping that we used up all our bad luck last weekend. Once again as Both Teams to Score is typically a low odds bet, we’re going to add more selections but have at least one from the top four English Leagues.
|BTTS||West Ham Vs Norwich||20/43|
|BTTS||Chelsea Vs Sheffield United||Evens|
|BTTS||Reading Vs Charlton||20/29|
|BTTS||Luton Vs Huddersfield||10/13|
|BTTS||Peterborough Vs Sunderland||5/8|
|BTTS||Wimbledon Vs Wycombe||20/31|
|BTTS||Port Vale Vs Cambridge Utd||5/6|
Odds 41/1 - £5 returns £214.45
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All odds from the 21.co.uk online sportsbook are correct at time of writing.
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