Premier League Predictions - Week 5
Written: 13th September 2019
It has never felt so good to come back off an international break with Premier League football back on the dining room table, football betting fans can look forward to their weekends again without having to endure Scotland getting beat. Although, we do have to say, we’ve enjoyed having a week where we haven’t had to discuss the issues surrounding VAR. However, all good things must come to an end and if the issue does rise again this week, at least we’ve got some fantastically tasty Premier League football to take in.
Once again, our two experts go head-to-head for the 5th time after TM has won back-to-back weeks to take the lead for the first time in the series. Today we’re starting this off with Liverpool Vs Newcastle United.
Liverpool Vs Newcastle United - Saturday 14th September (12:30)
This is one of the few games this weekend that looks like a forgone conclusion. Liverpool are the only team in the league to have picked up maximum points and have scored an average of three goals a game already this season. Meanwhile, Newcastle are the joint second-lowest scorers in the division so far with three goals in four games.
I fancy Newcastle to try and be competitive at Anfield, given that it’s still early in the season, and a defensive approach will see them slaughtered. They’ll have chances, possibly scoring a goal in the process, but Liverpool will run rampant in front of their adoring crowd.
This fixture may have produced fantastic goals-driven, end-to-end action in the past but unfortunately for the Geordies those days are firmly in the past. Comfortable win for Liverpool and a much-needed, confidence-boosting clean sheet for Adrian.
Brighton Vs Burnley - Saturday 14th September (15:00)
Both these sides are currently locked on 4 points after picking up fantastic wins on the opening day of the season but have failed to continue that momentum since. Both of these sides picked up harsh defeats last time out.
If this game were at Turf Moor, I’d fancy Burnley to edge it by the odd goal, but given that Brighton need to improve their home fortunes I fancy them to press the opposition harder, and hold them to a draw.
This is one of those fixtures that in my opinion has draw written all over it. After all they have drawn 5 of their last seven meetings. However, it appears that TM and I have a similar mindset for this one. However, I’ve never been one for the easy bets, so I’m going to go with my usual.
Manchester United Vs Leicester City - Saturday 14th September (15:00)
It’s strange to look at these two sides and think Leicester were the last one to win the Premier League and are the side currently in the top four. Leicester are one of three unbeaten Premier League sides meanwhile Manchester United have been unremarkable to say the least in their last two games.
It’s a bit early to say this is a must-win game for Man United but after picking up one point against Southampton and Crystal Palace, I’d argue that they simply can’t afford to let upcoming teams like Leicester gain a substantial lead on them, I think they’ll be up for this one.
I’m convinced that Leicester are going to win this one. I’d like to go even further and say it’s written in the stars for Harry Maguire to make a costly error that leads to a goal, but I’ll hold back a bit, and just stick to Leicester winning.
Sheffield United Vs Southampton - Saturday 14th September (15:00)
Both of these sides will have looked at this game as a potential 3 points and both really should be looking for the win. Southampton lost all three away games against newly-promoted sides last season but the Blades will be relying on a strong defensive performance if they want to keep the Saints at bay.
Sheffield United have adapted to Premier League life reasonably well, while Southampton are keen to show they’re not going to be dragged into a relegation scrap. I think the away side will start defensively, which will see the Blades take the momentum, and grind out a win.
Southampton started this season poorly but have improved their last two games, I genuinely can’t call this one. I think both sides could possibly win this and neither will settle for a point which is why I’m thinking that this game will finish in this way.
Tottenham Hotspur Vs Crystal Palace - Saturday 14th September (15:00)
Barring a shock 1-0 defeat to Newcastle United in their last home game, Spurs have had a reasonably good start to the season picking up points against Manchester City at the Etihad and Arsenal at the Emirates. However, Crystal Palace have also had a decent start picking up 7 points in their first 4 games.
When you consider that the last 8 meetings between these sides have either finished 1-0 or 2-0, I think it’s absolutely bizarre that you can find this tie to have under 2.5 goals at 13/10. So it is only natural that I’ve got exactly that.
I’m going completely against MG here, which is always a risk, but I think Crystal Palace are enjoying their football, while Tottenham will be aiming for a big win to boost morale. Uncertainty over Eriksen has ended, and he’ll want to push on with a strong performance.
Wolves Vs Chelsea - Saturday 14th September (15:00)
This is undoubtedly one of the ties of the weekend as we see the Europa League champions face one of the hopefuls in what should be a gripping head-to-head contest. Wolves are yet to win a game this season but have had arguably the toughest start of any side to this campaign meanwhile Chelsea are unbeaten in three but would have been hoping to have more than 5 points after 4 games.
Wolves have had a tough start to the season and I think they’ll struggle again here. They’ll dominate the midfield but Chelsea are very dangerous as a counter-attacking side.
Wolves haven’t started fantastically, but they’ll be keen for a win in their fifth game of the season. Chelsea have conceded in every match so far, and I think they’ll suffer here. The home side to take all three points.
Norwich City Vs Manchester City - Saturday 14th September (17:30)
The two games with the highest amount of goals in the game involved Manchester City and Norwich City which should mean one thing - there should be goals in this game. Norwich’s only three points so far have been against a toothless Newcastle side so you’d expect them to struggle against Manchester City.
I’ve enjoyed watching Norwich following their promotion, but we’ve already seen in their opening game how they can be susceptible to the big teams. Liverpool arguably could have had 6 or 7 in that game, and I imagine Manchester City will have plenty of chances here as well.
I’d be lying if I said I thought this would finish anything but a Manchester City win, however, goals are where the money is on this bet. As an alternative to simply backing the win, I’m going for the bet that I think is the best value for money.
AFC Bournemouth Vs Everton - Sunday 15th September (14:00)
This is a fixture that always provides goals and usually fantastic entertainment as we see two typically attacking teams attempt to one-up each other with 31 goals in the last 8 meetings between the side, it’s likely that we’ll see more here.
Well, my points have pretty much already been taken from the point above… So yeah…
I’m really struggling to pick a winner here. Bournemouth will be keen to find their first win at home this season, while Everton will be keen to find their first three points on the road. I think they’ll cancel each other out.
Watford Vs Arsenal - Sunday 15th September (16:30)
Both these sides are good offensively and the arrival of a new manager should spur Watford on, this no longer looks like 20th Vs 5th and has an aura of unpredictability about it that we often saw from Watford games last season.
Arsenal are playing very nice football, Watford are struggling at the wrong end of the table, so this looks like a routine away victory. How many times have we seen a new, or in this case, old manager come in and cause an upset in their first match. That’s exactly what I anticipate here.
I have to say, under Javi Gracia - Watford were in trouble. They’ve struggled in every game this season and this game in-particularly could have been embarrassing. However, I don’t care who their manager is when you put their defence against the Arsenal attack, there should only be one winner.
Aston Villa Vs West Ham - Monday 16th September (20:00)
Aston Villa have looked like a half-decent side and perhaps been unlucky in their opening games so far this season. Meanwhile, West Ham have put their first two games behind them and have won back-to-back games. History suggests a low scoring affair but these two managers haven’t gone head-to-head in the Premier League until now.
Villa need to start picking up points, their win against Everton was fantastic but they really should have picked up points against Crystal Palace and Bournemouth. They were unlucky in both but you can’t keep blaming bad luck. That being said, I think they’ll play well and be rewarded.
I think this is going to be a fairly open game. Given that none of my other predictions have been particularly outlandish, let’s go for one here. West Ham to score at least three goals on the road.
Accumulator of the Week
Premier League - Wolves Vs Chelsea - DRAW (47/20)
Championship - Blackburn Vs Millwall - Blackburn Win (11/10)
League One - Accrington Vs Sunderland - DRAW (13/5)
League Two - Stevenage Vs Carlisle - Stevenage Win (31/20)
21.co.uk Says: £5 returns - £322.89
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