Written: 9th July 2019
Premier League Predictions - Week One
The Premier League season is back and here at 21.co.uk we’ll be giving you our football betting predictions and top football betting tips for the upcoming season. We’ll even end each article with an accumulator of the week, picked from our online betting markets and sports odds where we’ll pick one game from the Premier League, Championship and Leagues 1&2 to create a 4-fold accumulator.
This week has some fantastic football matches in the UK on offer to kick off the Premier League betting campaign starting with Liverpool Vs Norwich which if history repeats itself could be an absolute goalfest. Meanwhile, Saturday sees West Ham host Manchester City and Spurs host Aston Villa before a massive Super Sunday. For now though, our two writers will stick to predicting this weeks' games, starting with Liverpool Vs Norwich.
Liverpool Vs Norwich City - Friday August 9, 20:00
Now if history suggests anything it’s that this game has the potential to be an absolute classic. However, history also suggests a Liverpool win is the only result on the cards here as you have to go back to the 2007/08 for the last time the Championship winner picked up a win on the opening day of the season. The big question for Liverpool is can they put their pre-season poor form behind them and start strong against a side who will be difficult to defeat but they would have arguably dominated at Anfield last season. Liverpool have also scored 5 goals in 4 of their last 6 games against Norwich in the Premier League.
Norwich were massively unpredictable in the Championship last season, scoring the most extra-time goals of any side. This suggests that they’ve got the stamina to create Liverpool problems for the full 90 minutes. Young Max Aarons is impressive going forward, but Norwich will certainly be susceptible on the counter, which is why I think there will be goals galore in this one.
I can safely say that Liverpool Vs Norwich will be the most one sided game of the weekend and I can see Daniel Farke’s side going down with a whimper even if Sadio Mane ends up unavailable. I don’t think Liverpool will quite get five goals this time round but they’ll comfortably bag a few.
West Ham United Vs Manchester City - Saturday August 10, 12:30
When you look at West Ham’s recent opening day fixtures, you have to feel sorry for the Hammers. You have to go back to 2013-14 for the last time they didn’t face one of the top six on the opening day and after two back-to-back 4-0 losses in the last two seasons. You fear for a third here especially considering the Hammers conceded 10 in 5 in pre-season. City might be without Sergio Aguero which means that either Gabriel Jesus or Raheem Sterling will take the sole striker role. This is the kind of game that everyone involved in online betting loves simply because the underdog is more than capable of pulling off an upset on their best day but it’s unlikely that day will come around on the opening day.
West Ham have done some decent business this summer and I think that the signings of Pablo Fornals and Sebastian Haller will make them a formidable attacking force against any defence. However, how bad is West Ham’s defence on paper? Bar Issa Diop how many of their defensive players would get into any of the Premier League teams around them and that’s exactly why a City field day is on the cards here in our first football betting tips
I think MG has overlooked Lukasz Fabianski in his equation when judging West Ham’s defence this season, but with all indications being that the goalkeeper will be missing due to injury, it’s hard not to back the reigning champions to have plenty of chances. With West Ham keeping men behind the ball, I think it’s inevitable that one of them will divert the ball into their own net.
Bournemouth Vs Sheffield United - Saturday August 10, 15:00
If Sheffield United beat Bournemouth they will be the first Championship Runners-Up to win their opening Premier League game since 1999. When a Dean Saunders goal gave Bradford a 1-0 win at the Riverside Stadium against Middlesbrough. However, Bournemouth faced similar opposition in Neil Warnock’s Cardiff City in their first game last season and came away with a standard 2-0, those popular in the sports betting community would argue lightning is about to strike twice at Dean Court.
Bournemouth are going to have too much for Sheffield United in my opinion. In fact, I get the impression that the Yorkshire club are going to be one of the main strugglers this year, and the Cherries (who have established themselves in the Premier League) will be the first to take full points from the newcomers. Sheffield United will likely be very defensive, and I feel as if a clumsy trip in the box will result in the opening goal.
Sheffield United will have a very tough task ahead of them if they want to stay up this season. They’ve added to their squad but personally, I don’t think they have enough quality to stay up this season. Think it will be a case of always putting up a good fight but just falling short.
Watford Vs Brighton - Saturday August 10, 15:00
It’ll be very interesting to see how Brighton line-up this season as since Graham Potter has come into the club, they’ve made some questionable decisions when it comes to transfers and last season Watford comfortably dispatched Brighton 2-0 and kept two clean sheets against the Seagulls last season. Now it can be argued that Brighton will be nowhere near as defensive as they were last season but it has to be questioned whether they have the attacking quality to do anything but focus defensively.
Brighton are one of the favourites for relegation for a reason, Graham Potter didn’t do that good of a job in the Championship and I think he’ll get sacked this season with Brighton getting relegated in the process, starting with another opening day defeat. Let’s just hope they get a shot on target this time round.
I like Watford’s ability to switch up their tactical approach depending on the opposition, and with Brighton looking like a fish out of water last season, Watford will tear into them from the start, and this should be a routine win. However, Glenn Murray always seems to have a goal in him, so I fancy both teams to score in this one.
Crystal Palace Vs Everton - Saturday August 10, 15:00
When you look at this transfer window, one of the least active teams has been Crystal Palace, despite selling Aaron Wan-Bissaka for £50 million they haven’t improved their side. However, it looks like they will be hanging onto Wilfred Zaha which could end up being the difference between relegation and survival. Meanwhile, Everton have had quite a good window and will likely introduce some of their new signings here. Everton couldn’t break Crystal Palace down in this fixture last season despite having 22 shots, could a repeat be on the cards?
Both of these sides are unpredictable at best, but with the likes of Zaha and Sigurdsson on the field, there will be chances a-plenty for both sides. The goalkeepers are unpredictable at best, and I think there will be goals for both sides.
Palace nearly hung on in both games against Everton last season without really threatening the goal of Jordan Pickford on either occasion. Unfortunately for the Eagles, I can see that repeating itself here and Everton picking up a narrow win.
Burnley Vs Southampton - Saturday August 10, 15:00
Both sides were involved in a relegation battle last season and in our opinion Southampton are more likely to pull away from the pack than Burnley. However, we wouldn’t be surprised if either side was drawn into the battle this season. Despite both sides improve their squads slightly.
Another game that is sees a repeat of last season, these kind of things are starting to happen more often than not these days. Both games between these sides ended as draws last season with this exact fixture ending 1-1. Which funnily enough...
Both teams will be reeling from their poor form last season, and long-term I’m sure they’ll both take risks in order to reap the rewards. Neither side will want to lose on the opening day though, so I can see them playing for the 0-0, although there may well be a late winner.
Tottenham Hotspur Vs Aston Villa - Saturday August 10, 17:30
As Aston Villa return to the Premier League after a 3 season absence they couldn’t have had a tougher place to start their campaign. However, one fact that will give Villa fans hope is that two out of the last three play-off winners have gone on to win their opening game of the season but Spurs have faced the winners on the opening day twice since 2000 and won both times. In terms of injury problems, Dele Alli will be the biggest miss for Tottenham, however, they have more than enough quality in attacking midfield to make up for his absence.
I think Aston Villa have done some solid summer business, but it’ll take them a while to blend into the squad. Tottenham can’t afford to be slipping up to a newly-promoted side on day one, so they’ll play a controlled game that will see them win 2-0.
I’ve seen Spurs a few times on the opening day a few times over the last 4-5 seasons and it’s obvious that they take 45 minutes to really get into the stride of things. I think they’ll struggle to break down a resilient Villa but find the breakthrough midway through the second half.
Leicester City Vs Wolves - Sunday August 11, 14:00
The battle of the two of three sides who could be expected to break into the top six this season. Both Leicester and Wolves have added to their squads admirably with Leicester matching then breaking their transfer record and Wolves bringing in new faces from AC Milan and Real Madrid. This game is definitely the most evenly matched of the weekend.
Leicester have made some of the signings of the season and I can really see them battling with some of the best this season. However, Wolves have developed a reputation for taking the bigger teams and beating them with relative ease. Even contest.
The general consensus seems to be that Wolves will get ‘found out’ by their Premier League rivals after being something of a surprise package last season, and that Leicester have strengthened well this window. I think there’s still value in backing Wolves to get the away win here.
Newcastle United Vs Arsenal - Sunday August 11, 14:00
Life as a fan of both of these clubs is an absolute rollercoaster ride and we can’t wait to see how this game unfolds. Steve Bruce has come out and said his side will play attacking football and with the signings they’ve made, it looks that way. The last two meetings between the two sides have ended 2-1, one win for each side. However, Newcastle have only beaten Arsenal once at St James’ Park since 2005.
I have a close connection with both of these sides, and while it may all be doom and gloom on Tyneside at the moment, the North London side are hardly exuding confidence or swagger. It’ll be a gritty game, and I think Arsenal will edge it, but it will be by no means convincing.
Newcastle are going to be ones to watch this season because they’re one of the many sides that have the capabilities of push the top ten but at the same time are more likely to be relegated, meanwhile with Arsenal, they’ve signed a big player in the one position they probably didn’t need one. However, Arsenal have a better squad and better manager than Newcastle which 9/10 means they’re pretty certain winners.
Manchester United Vs Chelsea - Sunday August 11, 16:30
The biggest game of the opening weekend on paper is definitely Manchester United Vs Chelsea which if you had told most people this time last season would be Ole Gunnar Solskjaer Vs Frank Lampard, they would have laughed you out of the building. However, both of these managers have something to prove and you can guarantee whoever comes out on top in this fixture will take serious confidence from the result.
Chelsea are in a really tough position right now and when you compare their squads to those around them, they are the weakest side in the top 6. Meanwhile, Manchester United have attempted to revitalise their squad with an influx of youth and pace. It’ll take a few years to judge how this window has gone but I can see a narrow win for one of these sides.
Man Utd have several players who are underperforming at the moment, while Chelsea are hoping that Christian Pulisic can fill the Eden Hazard-shaped void in their attack. I don’t think this will be one of these sides’ better meetings, and could well be dull on the goals front.
Accumulator of the Week
There are some fantastic games this week which means the potential football betting markets on 21.co.uk are available. This week we’re going to start things off with the most basic accumulator possible with the winners market, you are more than welcome to try out some of your own but with the unpredictability of the opening month we figured, the best value comes in the winners market. So here are our picks from this weeks Football League.
Burnley to draw with Southampton - 11/5
QPR to beat Huddersfield Town - 33/20
Ipswich to draw with Sunderland - 23/10
Plymouth to beat Colchester - 11/10
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