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Football Betting Tips - Premier League Analysis - Part One

Written: July 29th 2019

Words: Michael Grahamslaw

Premier League 2019/20 Season Preview: Part One

View Part Two here

The 2019/2020 Premier League season has the potential to be one of the biggest in recent history with the Liverpool - Man City feud for the title continuing on from last season and the burning desire for either side to get one over on the other is hotter than ever. Squads like Wolves and Everton realistically aren’t too far off from being the standard of a top-six club and realistically you wouldn’t be surprised if any out of 11 teams ended up relegated in May. 21.co.uk is the best place to find offers in and around online sports betting as well as the world of casino games but for now and the upcoming campaign and in this article, you can find our analysis and betting tips for the first ten teams in the Premier League, starting with Eddie Howe's Cherries - AFC Bournemouth.

AFC Bournemouth

When you look at Bournemouth’s starting XI, it’s tough to view them as anything but the established Premier League side they now are. This will be their fifth consecutive season in the top flight and arguably they’re stronger than ever with younger players like Lewis Cook, Jordon Ibe and David Brooks getting better and better with every game and some of their more experienced players grasping the opportunities to play weekly in the Premier League.

Squad Analysis

When you look at the Bournemouth squad, they are a well-rounded side who really should stay up this season. However, with teams sniffing around the likes of Cook, Callum Wilson and Ryan Fraser then Bournemouth’s squad could have a very different look to it by the time the transfer window closes. That being said, if they don’t sell their top players and keep Wilson fit, there is no reason why the Cherries can’t push for top ten and have a domestic cup run. The trick, in this case, will definitely be keeping Callum Wilson fit, who last time-round was their top goalscorer with 14 Premier League goals.

Before we get started on their arrivals, in terms of player departures, this is the greatest transfer window Bournemouth have ever had. Tyrone Mings and Lys Mousset were both introduced at the club as young stars who could be fantastic but realistically, they’ve subsequently flopped with Mings making just 17 appearances in four years and Mousset scoring just 3 goals in 58 Premier League appearances. Yet they have still made approximately 16 million pounds profit. In terms of arrivals, it’s very much what you would expect from Bournemouth, as young Premier League standard talent has been bought with Philip Billing, Lloyd Kelly and Jack Stacey.

Let's be honest, Eddie Howe is a very intelligent man, if there’s an issue with his squad, he’ll fix it or he will at least have some ideas for improvement. We believe that Bournemouth’s main issue may come from their style of play, with Howe’s side being primarily a very attacking side, their defence - especially last season was left severely lacking. Only Fulham and Huddersfield conceded more goals than the Cherries in 2018/19. They’re a team you wouldn’t be surprised if they beat Manchester City at the Etihad but then lost 4-0 at Bramall Lane.

Bournemouth to finish top ten: 3/1

Predicted Finish

Here at 21.co.uk, we believe that Bournemouth are very likely to replicate one of their previous campaigns but it won’t be their highest ever finish, we believe they’ll start the campaign well then decline slowly about a third of the way into the season before finishing strongly and shooting back up the table.

Our predicted finish: 12th

21.co.uk’s Online Betting odds:

To Be Relegated: 9/2

Arsenal

Next up comes Unai Emery’s Arsenal and we believe this has to be a good year for Arsenal, their aim this season has to be top four, with Chelsea under a transfer embargo and Manchester United focusing primarily on youth this year. Losing out to either of those sides who are evidently in a transition stage, would be a disaster for the club.

Squad Analysis

When you look at the Arsenal squad, there’s some positions that are full of quality, there are others that are pretty poor and there are also some that have been made scapegoats, some have deserved it, others haven’t but a return of clarity and stability is exactly what Arsenal need right now and with a strike partnership of Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette, the Gunners can afford one or two lapses in defence.

Arsenal’s current signings look great, with Dani Ceballos likely to be starting next season. The Nicolas Pepe signing is also a huge coup for the club but that could mean we’ll see Reiss Nelson leave the club on loan again this season. In terms of departures, Arsenal have gotten rid of some deadwood but also lost Aaron Ramsey in the process, which could be a killer blow to their Champions League qualification hopes.

Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang to be the Premier League’s top scorer: 7/1

Predicted Finish

Upon reading this, you may think we at the office think quite negatively of Arsenal, it's in-fact the opposite, we find it so frustrating that a team who attempt to play good football are let down by sometimes idiotic mistakes by key players. Thankfully, the rumours of the likes of Aubameyang leaving have disappeared and we don’t think the Emirates will be a transfer haven before the start of the season. In our opinion, the most likely of our Sports Betting Tips for this season is:

Our Predicted Finish - 5th.

21.co.uk’s Online Betting odds:

To Win The Carabao Cup 11/1

Aston Villa

First up, a big welcome back to the Premier League for Aston Villa, it’s mad to think a third of the way into the Championship markets last season they were 16th and about 40/1 for promotion. Now they are promoted and already they haven’t been scared of reaping the rewards of their promotion with Brazilian Wesley being the main acquisition at a price to £22 million. Out of all their signings the most impressive is Burnley stopper Tom Heaton who will add much-needed experience to their back line.

Squad Analysis

There is a reason that a tonne of football fans are comparing Villa’s spending spree to that of Fulham’s and that is simply because there are a lot of similarities in squads. Villa’s most exciting signings are in-fact unproven and those they’ve brought in defensively haven’t had much or any experience in the Premier League and if they don’t adapt immediately, Villa will be in trouble.

To adapt to the Premier League, you need to improve your squad and that’s exactly what Villa have done. With players like Wesley and Jota joining the club, there’s no doubt about the attacking talent in their front four but I can’t see one Villa defender getting into the squads of their relegation rivals which is a worry. In-terms of departures, Villa have finally gotten some of their bigger wages off the wage bill, the finance department of Villa will be ecstatic if they never see the name Ross McCormack again.

To be Relegated: 2/1

Predicted Finish

I think with the three promoted clubs whether they stay up or not will very much depend on whether they start the campaign well or not. I feel out of those teams Villa have the nicest schedule across the first ten games. Dean Smith has worked wonders with the squad since his arrival and I think that his hard work will carry over into next season. We think Villa will be in the market to sign another defender and it’ll pay off by May, they’ll be engulfed in a relegation battle but we think they’ll have enough to get out of it. We're backing them to narrowly survive in our Football Betting Tips

Our Predicted Finish - 16th

21.co.uk’s Online Betting odds:

To survive: 10/27

Brighton

The Football world was split when Brighton announced that Chris Hughton had left the club and many still suspect that the decision will come to bite Brighton and they’ll suffer relegation. However, since then the club have brought in Graham Potter who did an alright job during his first year in England at Swansea City last campaign.

Squad Analysis

There’s only so many years a Premier League team can rely on an ageing Glenn Murray to contribute the goals to their campaign. Brighton are blessed in terms of creative wingers and some will argue that because of Hughton's’ tactics the likes of Antony Knockaert, Jose Izquierdo and Alireza Jahanbakhsh perhaps didn’t have their desired impact last season. We’ve seen in that Brighton’s defence is good enough to soak up pressure and win the big games but now Brighton need to take the pressure off their defenders and start scoring goals.

To survive: 4/9

Predicted Finish

For us, Brighton are one of five teams we couldn’t decide upon to take up 18th & 19th place in the Premier League, one of those teams you’ve already seen and there’s three more to come in later parts but when it comes to Brighton we’re afraid Graham Potter won’t get the best out of his squad from an offensive point of view and Brighton will be the club that falls in the long multi-team relegation battle.

Our Predicted Finish 18th.

21.co.uk Online Betting odds:

To Be Relegated: 19/10

Burnley

Sean Dyche’s Burnley are a difficult one to predict, on their day they can beat anyone and if they have a good season, they could finish top half but at the same time they’re one of the firm favourites for relegation every single year. They have a very good starting XI but if their squad picked up a few injuries they should struggle, yet every year Dyche always finds a way to work around them.

Squad Analysis

Burnley’s starting XI is without a doubt strong enough to survive in the Premier League, especially with a front two of Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes. However, if either of those get injured, you're relying on Jay Rodriguez to come in and contribute in games against the weaker teams unless Dyche decides to move to a 4-5-1 formation. They’re fantastic in central areas but could do with some work wide-right.

Burnley have brought in Jay Rodriguez and Erik Pieters as back-up players and we think they’ll do that job fairly well in that role. Meanwhile, they’ve sold Tom Heaton for a decent fee, it was disappointing to see the stopper leave Turf Moor but realistically Burnley got a very good price for Heaton.

Outside bet: Burnley to finish top 10 - 6/1

Predicted Finish

We feel that Burnley will be another one of those teams that fall into a relegation battle but we’re fairly confident that they will survive come May. There are weaker squads in every area and the Burnley squad are fairly well gelled and personally, we are very excited to see what Dwight McNeil brings to the table next season. However, anyone that follows Premier League Betting Tips knows that you can never count out Sean Dyche's Burnley.

Our Predicted Finish - 14th

To be relegated: 19/10

Chelsea

In what is unquestionably going to be a season of transition for Chelsea, they should still really be pushing for a top 4 spot this season. As Chelsea can’t actually sign anyone they haven’t already signed a deal for, they will have to rely on some of their younger players to step up and replace the likes of Eden Hazard. It will be interesting to see if the likes of Tammy Abraham and Mason Mount break into the squad under Lampard or if he will stick with some of the more experienced names in the Chelsea squad.

Squad Analysis

Defensively, I think Chelsea are pretty solid. Their wing-backs are very offensive which is exactly what they’re going to need this season as it appears offensively is going to be where they struggle this season. They have strength in-depth in central defence and central midfield but they’re really lacking a star player that the teams around them have. They’re definitely going to need stand-out seasons from either Callum Hudson-Odoi, Christian Pulisic and whoever they stick up front whether it’s Olivier Giroud, Tammy Abraham or Michy Batshauyi.

Chelsea to finish top four: evens

Predicted Finish

Any manager who took charge of Chelsea as it stood would have one of the most difficult jobs in their career this season by reaching their usually high expectations. We think Lampard will do a decent job this season and win another trophy this year.

Our Predicted Finish - 6th

21.co.uk’s Online Betting Odds:

To win the FA Cup - 9/1

Crystal Palace

Here is our issue with Crystal Palace, you look at their side and think even without Wilfred Zaha, they’ve got a few players who need to be playing in a top half team and you wonder perhaps why they aren’t up there. Then you look at their squad depth and realise the exact reason, if Palace have a few injuries their squad is down to bare bones and players who realistically probably would struggle to get into Championship teams are being relied upon. Which is a real shame because with a bit of work they could become a real force and push on.

Squad Analysis

Naturally, Palace now need a new right-back to replace Aaron Wan-Bissaka who recently left for Manchester United. But other than, I like their back five. Maybe Centre-Back could be brought in if we were being picky but defence is probably Palace’s best area overall. In midfield, they need depth, simple as that or at least the opportunity to push a few of their regular starters like Kouyate and McArthur and up-front… well, would Christian Benteke or Connor Wickham be a regular starter for sides like Huddersfield and Swansea? Absolutely not.

Predicted Finish

Can I see Palace bringing in a striker who can push them into the top ten? Unfortunately not. I think they’ll go back a step this season due to not reinvesting in the team and then a further step back if they sell Zaha. They’ll be in a relegation battle at the end of the season as it stands but I think they’ll survive. However, their season comes down to Zaha, if they sell him and don't replace the winger, it's a bigger gamble than anything we've ever seen in online casino.

Predicted Finish: 17th

21.co.uk’s Online Betting Odds:

To be relegated: 11/2

Everton

Everton are a team that has to break into the top six soon, they are expected to almost every season and 9/10 times their supporters are disappointed with their season. This time around we think it might be a little different for the Toffees. They’ve got some fantastic young players and some players in the prime of their careers, with those above them stagnating, it is really down to the likes of Everton and Leicester to push the bigger sides this campaign.

Squad Analysis

For their backline, Everton are solid enough to be a top-six side, providing they don’t have any injuries, if they can keep their first-choice back four fit for the majority of the season, they stand a chance. Their midfield is pretty decent as well, we felt like Bernard was a bit of a disappointment last season but you could easily put that down to first season struggles. With a strong midfield including the likes of Gomes and Sigurdsson, Everton arguably have one of the best midfield areas in the league. Their main difficulty came up front last season, Calvert Lewin doesn’t appear to be ready to be a sole striker for a top Premier League club and their only real back-up was Cenk Tosun.

To finish bottom 10: 21/10

Predicted Finish:

With Everton we feel they’re going to make their mark this season in one competition but not altogether, If they succeed in the league, we don’t think they will in the Cups and vice-versa. We think their main aim has to be bringing a trophy back to the blue side of Merseyside this season.

Predicted Finish: 8th

21.co.uk’s Online Betting Odds:

To finish top six: 7/2

Leicester City

The big question around Leicester City at the minute is who will replace Harry Maguire, with Lewis Dunk, Nathan Ake and James Tarkowski all linked recently. The Foxes have had an absolutely incredible Summer adding both Youri Tielemans and former Newcastle hitman Ayoze Perez to their ranks on permanent deals. We believe that Leicester this season have an expectation on them to compete with some of the bigger teams in the league and perhaps challenge for one of the two domestic trophies if the draw is kind to them.

Squad Analysis

Leicester’s squad is in our opinion the strongest outside of the top six and the fantastic thing is, because their squad is so young, they’re only going to get better every year. We’d argue that the squad needs a little bit more experience to nurture the fantastic young players that Leicester have.

Leicester to finish top 4 - 16/1

Predicted Finish

Our Predicted Finish - 7th

21.co.uk’s Online Betting Odds:

Leicester to finish top 6 - 4/1

Liverpool

After conquering Europe last season in the Champions League, this year the aim has to be dethroning Manchester City as Premier League Champions and winning the trophy for the first time since the 1989/1990 season. You could argue one similarity would be the devastating front three, with Salah, Firmino and Mane very much replicating the success of Beardsley, Rush and Barnes back in 1989, can the current front line go one further this season and guide Liverpool to a 19th title?

Squad Analysis

When you look at this Liverpool squad, you’ll struggle to find a weakness. They have strength in depth in almost every department. You could perhaps argue the case for an experienced striker who does nothing fancy, just puts the ball in the back of the net because there were a few cases last season in 0-0 draws where Liverpool were just lacking a clinical number 9 style player. However, with Origi likely to get a lot more game time this season, how many strikers would be a better back-up option than him?

Liverpool to retain the Champions League 7/1

Predicted Finish

Our Predicted Finish - 2nd

21.co.uk’s Online Betting Odds:

Liverpool to win the Premier League - 9/4

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