Premier League 2020/2021 Betting Preview
Written: 11th September 2020
The 2020/21 Premier League season is finally here! We’ve got so many questions ahead of the new season but we’re here to focus on football betting odds and markets for the Premier League season. So in this preview, we’ll be going through all of the betting markets that 21.co.uk has for the upcoming season and then providing our experts' opinion on the best bets for each market. So without further ado, let’s get started at the top with the Premier League winner betting markets.
Premier League Winner Betting Markets
Now, 90% of bettors there are only two teams who could win the Premier League and those two teams are Liverpool and Manchester City. However, those people also wouldn’t have bet on Leicester to win the Premier League or for both Sheffield United and Burnley to finish in the top half last season. These are the betting odds for the top six teams to win the Premier League.
So, where is the value here? Personally, I’m a part of the 90% of bettors because Chelsea and Manchester United are still missing a few pieces before they are on the level of Man City and Liverpool. Chelsea’s signings may hit the ground running and cause problems but in my opinion, the value for money is for Liverpool to reclaim their title at 9/4 as never in Premier League history has a team won the league by more than 15 points and then failed to win it the following year.
Premier League Best Promoted Team Markets
Last season saw Watford, Bournemouth and Norwich City relegated to the Championship and replaced with Leeds United, West Bromwich Albion and Fulham. Out of the three relegated teams, only one returned to the Championship as Aston Villa survived on the final day and Sheffield United claimed their joint best finish since 1974/75. Can either of these three sides replicate the Blades success?
|West Bromwich Albion||7/2|
In my opinion, this depends on how you personally feel Leeds United will perform this season. They’re definitely the strongest out of the three teams and that is reflected in the odds, West Brom and Fulham could definitely get relegated again this season leaving Leeds United at 12/25 as our pick.
Premier League Next Manager to Leave Markets
There are a number of Premier League managers who surprised bettors last season by staying in their roles all year. Bettors around the world believed that Roy Hodgson, Frank Lampard, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and Steve Bruce were all favourites for the sack last season. However, all four managed to stay in their roles and it was Javi Gracia who was the first to go, despite taking Watford to their second ever FA Cup final just three months prior.
|Roy Hodgson (CRY)||5/1||David Moyes (WHU)||6/1||Scott Parker (FUL)||6/1|
|Steve Bruce (NEW)||8/1||Dean Smith (AST)||9/1||Marcelo Bielsa (LEE)||12/1|
|Slaven Bilic (WBA)||12/1||Sean Dyche (BUR)||14/1||Graham Potter (BRI)||16/1|
|Carlo Ancelotti (EVE)||20/1||Pep Guardiola (MNC)||20/1||Ralph Hasenhuttl (SOU)||20/1|
|Jose Mourinho (TOT)||20/1||Nuno Espirito Santo (WOL)||20/1||Brendan Rodgers (LEI)||20/1|
|Frank Lampard (CHE)||25/1||Ole Gunnar Solskjaer (MNU)||25/1||Chris Wilder (SHU)||25/1|
|Mikel Arteta (ARS)||33/1||Jurgen Klopp (LIV)||50/1||None to leave||250/1|
Two teams immediately come to mind when it comes to who is going to sack their manager and they are West Ham United and Aston Villa. Despite surviving last season, Villa fans constantly called for Smith to be removed from his position while a bad start last campaign saw Manuel Pellegrini sacked as David Moyes’ predecessor. Dean Smith is a fantastic shout at 9/1 but with Newcastle, Arsenal, Wolves, Leicester, Liverpool, Man City and Spurs as their first seven games, I don’t think you can look further than David Moyes at 6/1 as if they don’t pick up a win against Newcastle on the opening day, they could have less than three points after seven games.
Premier League Player of the Year Markets
Kevin De Bruyne sets out to accomplish a feat only matched by Cristiano Ronaldo as he looks to win the Premier League Player of the Year in back-to-back campaigns. Virgil Van Dijk came close last season but was pipped by the Belgian in the end. However, injuries of the past should be contemplated by any bettors who are looking to place a bet on KDB this season, he is the bookies favourite for a reason but can he go the full campaign without picking up an injury? Here are the 15 favourites for the Player of the Year.
|Kevin De Bruyne||4/1||Bruno Fernandes||8/1||Mohamed Salah||11/1|
|Raheem Sterling||11/1||Sadio Mane||14/1||Trent Alexander-Arnold||16/1|
|Harry Kane||18/1||Sergio Aguero||20/1||Phil Foden||20/1|
|Christian Pulisic||20/1||Timo Werner||20/1||Virgil Van Dijk||20/1|
|Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang||25/1||Roberto Firmino||25/1||Marcus Rashford||25/1|
Looking at this list, it’s hard to look beyond KDB, if he gets injured, my money immediately goes on either Virgil Van Dijk at 20/1 or PEA at 25/1 as there aren’t any other real contenders in my opinion. So, for me Go for Kevin De Bruyne at 4/1 and these are my reasons why:
Manchester United will not exceed expectations this season meaning a third place finish at best with neither Fernandes or Rashford doing enough to win.
Mohamed Salah, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane will be the best trio but in competitions like this, having five world class players will split up the voting meaning that attacking players will struggle to win. Leaving the best defender: Virgil Van Dijk as my favourite to win from Liverpool.
Harry Kane needs to win the league to win the Player of the Year in my opinion, Spurs won’t play fancy football and I think there will be more of a focus on domestic trophies this season.
Sergio Aguero will be rotated by Pep Guardiola to keep Jesus happy and the pair fit meaning even if he scores every game, he will struggle to win. Foden is nowhere near good enough just yet, he could rival Trent Alexander-Arnold for the Young Player of the Year.
Chelsea may have one of the most impressive attacks under Frank Lampard but they are also awful defensively and the signings of Thiago Silva and Ben Chilwell won’t do much to change that. I can’t see the Player of the Year coming from a team in 4th which rules out Christian Pulisic and Timo Werner.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is Arsenal’s best player by longer than a country mile, the distance between PEA and Arsenal’s squad players is like comparing Jamie Vardy to Joelinton. If Arsenal do anything this season, Aubameyang has a good chance of being top goalscorer and being an outside shout for Player of the Year.
Premier League Young Player of the Year Markets
The Young Player of the Year is usually a little harder to guess than the Player of the Year, winners have come from 16 Premier League clubs in the past with 10 clubs having more than one winner. Tottenham have dominated this award in recent years with 5 wins in the last nine years. However, it is unlikely that they will see a winner this year.
|Trent Alexander-Arnold||9/2||Mason Greenwood||13/2||Phil Foden||7/1|
|Marcus Rashford||7/1||Christian Pulisic||8/1||Gabriel Jesus||14/1|
|Bukayo Saka||14/1||James Maddison||16/1||Mason Mount||16/1|
|Ben Chilwell||25/1||Richarlison||25/1||Ruben Neves||40/1|
Trent Alexander-Arnold is the name that stands out here and we believe he will drop under 3/1 before October. The right-back is a standout figure at Liverpool while the others have a good chance of fading into the background due to the fantastic attacking options around them. If you’re looking for a good outside bet, I would go for Richarlison at 25/1 as I feel Everton’s new midfield options will give him a new spark this season but my pick was never going to be anyone but Trent Alexander-Arnold at odds of 9/2.
Premier League Relegation Markets
This season the relegation battle is tighter than ever as we can realistically say that nine teams could end up fighting against the drop at the end of the season. This means for the first time in many seasons, there is no clear favourite for the drop.
|Fulham||Evens||West Brom||Evens||Aston Villa||7/4|
|Crystal Palace||9/4||Newcastle United||9/4||Burnley||5/2|
|Brighton||7/2||Leeds United||7/2||West Ham||4/1|
Striker Danny Ings virtually guarantees Southampton's survival in our opinion which is why they’re not on this list but if Ings were to get injured, Southampton's odds would dramatically fall. However, out of the nine teams on this list, our favourites to get relegated are West Brom at evens, Aston Villa at 7/4 and Fulham at evens. I believe that Burnley will have another good season while Crystal Palace and Newcastle will both finish in the 12th-15th spots. Leeds and Brighton may struggle but I think they’re both stronger than the relegated sides. West Ham will start poorly, sack David Moyes and recover by February.
Premier League Assists Markets
If Kevin De Bruyne stays fit, there are no doubts that the Belgian will finish the season as the top assister this season. However, the big word there is IF… With the likes of Trent Alexander-Arnold guaranteeing 12-15 assists a season and very few creative players who can cause a threat.
|Kevin De Bruyne||17/20||Bruno Fernandes||9/2||Trent Alexander-Arnold||9/1|
|Mohamed Salah||10/1||Kai Havertz||14/1||Riyad Mahrez||14/1|
|Marcus Rashford||14/1||Andy Robertson||14/1||Hakim Ziyech||14/1|
Half of the players on this list will end the season on less than 10 assists in my opinion which limits the choices we can make. Kevin De Bruyne at 17:20 is virtually guaranteed if he stays fit but if you don’t think he will we definitely recommend taking a chance on Trent Alexander-Arnold at 9/1, Kai Havertz may have been the favourite if this was our Bundesliga online betting tips but as he’s moved to Chelsea, he is nowhere near in my opinion.
Premier League Top Goalscorer Markets
Unlike the odds for the top assister, the premier league betting odds for the top goalscorer have a lot of competition with 13 players at odds of 20/1 or under. They are:
|Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang||5/1||Harry Kane||5/1||Mohamed Salah||6/1|
|Sergio Aguero||6/1||Timo Werner||10/1||Raheem Sterling||11/1|
|Sadio Mane||14/1||Jamie Vardy||14/1||Bruno Fernandes||16/1|
|Gabriel Jesus||16/1||Danny Ings||20/1||Anthony Martial||20/1|
|Marcus Rashford||20/1||Mason Greenwood||25/1||Raul Jimenez||25/1|
Realistically, any one of these players could pick up the top goalscorer accolade at the end of the season. However, the favourite Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang at 5/1 is our grand pick as Arsenal have improved significantly under Mikel Arteta and the Gabon international has been fantastic since the young Spanish manager took charge. However, if you’re looking for an outside bet Anthony Martial at 20/1 could be a fantastic shout if he continues to play upfront for Manchester United.
Premier League Team Markets
Here you can find what is in our opinion, the best odds for every Premier League team this season. If you’re looking to bet on your club, this is what we would choose for them.
|Arsenal||To Finish top 4 (5/2)||Aston Villa||Jack Grealish top scorer (9/4)|
|Brighton||Over 40.5 points (17/20)||Burnley||Chris Wood top scorer (11/10)|
|Chelsea||Finish higher than Man U (9/10)||C.Palace||Wilfred Zaha top scorer (3/1)|
|Everton||Score over 52.5 goals (7/10)||Fulham||Avoid Relegation (7/10)|
|Leeds||Finish top 10 (8/5)||Leicester City||Finish above Wolves (7/10)|
|Liverpool||Salah league top scorer (6/1)||Man City||KDB Most assists (17/20)|
|Man Utd||Over 73.5 goals (17/20)||Newcastle United||Wilson over 9.5 goals (evens)|
|Sheff Utd||Under 42.5 Points (evens)||Southampton||Top 10 finish (8/5)|
|Spurs||Top 4 Finish (3/1)||West Brom||Over 34.5 points (17/20)|
|West Ham||Moyes first sacked (6/1)||Wolves||Finish above Leicester (17/20)|