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NBA Week Eleven Betting Tips

2019 looks like it’s going to come to an end with our tipster posting over a 50% average for successful NBA betting tips, but to cap the year off they’re going for the elusive perfect week. Last week threw up some surprises, but our Christmas NBA tips were there or thereabouts (although the less said about Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors the better). We have five huge fixtures to end the 2019 portion of the season and welcome in 2020, with plenty left to fight for, including some playoff hopefuls that are hovering menacingly. Which means we're taking a break from our online casino to check up on surprise package Indiana Pacers who entertain Philadelphia 76ers, before Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets tip off to the sound of Big Ben’s chimes. Phoenix Suns, LA Lakers, Brooklyn Nets, Dallas Mavericks, Miami Heat, and Orlando Magic are also in action.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers, Tuesday 31st December, 20:00 GMT

Indiana Pacers are being heralded by some as the surprise package in this season’s NBA, but they’re actually falling below our expectations at 21.co.uk, although in fairness they’ve been without Victor Oladipo for almost a year. They’ve taken some huge scalps in 2019, but the flipside of that is that they’ve lost a few that they shouldn’t have, including three of four matchups with Detroit Pistons. They’ll be in the playoffs, that’s fairly certain even at this stage, but if they’re to climb the table and get 2020 off to the best start, they’ll need to put in a strong performance against the 76ers.

We know we’re constantly hyping up Philadelphia 76ers, as we tipped them to win the Championship in our NBA season preview, but even we can’t pretend that they have slumped in a few of their recent games, particularly on the road. While they only lost by a single point margin at both Orlando Magic and Miami Heat, they should have done better, and it’s clear that Joel Embiid isn’t being backed up by his teammates. They’ll need to perform as a unit to win at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, but we’re not sure they will.

Moneyline Full Time - Indiana Pacers (11/10)

Denver Nuggets @ Houston Rockets, Wednesday 1st January, 00:00 GMT

These two were our picks for first and second in the Western Conference, but at the turn of the year they’ve got a job on their hands to knock LA Lakers off their perch. Houston Rockets will be pleased with how their season is going, especially at the Toyota Center. 11-4 is their record there, but while losses to Milwaukee Bucks and Dallas Mavericks were understandable, they’ll be disappointed with defeats to Detroit Pistons and Sacramento Kings. The Nuggets are certainly closer in calibre to the former two, so will prove a stubborn test for the Rockets to overcome.

Denver Nuggets are performing admirably at the moment, having lost only once in their most recent ten games. The issue is, most of those have been at Pepsi Center, with their 2-3 record in their five most recent away contests telling a very different story. Nikola Jokic has been scoring high points in fits and starts, with Jamal Murray capable of standing in, but Will Barton and Michael Porter Jr. had to carry the team to see off the Sacramento Kings at the weekend. The Nuggets won by ten when these two met in November, but they’ll need the whole roster firing to win this away leg - however, at betting odds of 6/5 we're confident the Nuggets will take

Moneyline Full Time - Denver Nuggets (6/5)

Phoenix Suns @ LA Lakers, Thursday 2nd January, 03:30 GMT

Over the Christmas period, LA Lakers swiftly went from being the side that no-one wanted to come up against, to being the one that everyone wanted a piece of. Four consecutive losses to Indiana Pacers, Milwaukee Bucks, Denver Nuggets, and LA Clippers saw their crown slip, although wins against Portland Trail Blazers and Dallas Mavericks indicate that slump may be behind them. In truth, they should have a very successful week, as they face New Orleans Pelicans, Detroit Pistons, and New York Knicks after this one - all at the Staples Center - but they’ll need to ensure they don’t underestimate the Suns.

Phoenix Suns looked like they might be able to mount an outside claim for a playoff position as they beat Minnesota Timberwolves three weeks ago, but that was before Devin Booker picked up a forearm injury. The results declined, and so did morale, to the extent that Booker’s return was unable to turn their fortunes around. A two point win at Sacramento Kings halted the run of eight consecutive defeats, but if they don’t get anything against the Trail Blazers on Tuesday morning, they won’t be in the frame of mind to stop the Lakers from registering a rout. That said, we think the 11 point spread is excessive.

Spread Full Time - Phoenix Suns +10.5 (Evens)

Brooklyn Nets @ Dallas Mavericks, Friday 3rd January, 01:30 GMT

Dallas Mavericks have struggled to get proper momentum going, particularly over the past month, but two separate five game winning runs have helped them to a convincing playoff berth in the Western Conference, with a very real chance of closing down Houston Rockets and LA Clippers. Luka Doncic has been a key component of their success, and him being missing for five games with an ankle injury appears to be the cause of recent patchy form. He’s back now though, and firing on all cylinders, although Lakers legend Kobe Bryant heckling him in his native Slovenian did cause him to have a blip in LA.

It’s difficult to plug a Kyrie Irving-shaped hole in your starting five, and for Brooklyn Nets it’s proving to be a real test of their depth. Spencer Dinwiddie has largely been carrying the team in Irving’s absence, being top scorer for the team in 16 of their 20 games since Irving last played, and each of the past nine. The Nets haven’t been great away from the Barclays Center though, and before they get to this game, they take on Minnesota Timberwolves in Minneapolis. Even if they come through that unscathed, the Mavericks are likely to pose some serious problems, although both defenses are a little ropey.

Total Points - Over 221.5 (Evens)

Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic, Saturday 4th January, 00:00 GMT

Orlando Magic knew they would have to fight for a playoff place, but it looks like they may make it. The Magic are in the unenviable position of eighth, torn between holding off the challenge of Chicago Bulls, Charlotte Hornets, and Detroit Pistons, and closing down Brooklyn Nets and Indiana Pacers. They’ll probably approach this clash with the Heat in a defensive manner, and while it may not be the most exciting approach for the Amway Center faithful, it’s probably the wisest. Games against Atlanta Hawks and Washington Wizards before this are more likely to see an attacking focus.

At 21.co.uk, we thought Miami Heat would be battling with the Magic for a playoff place, but they’ve fully deserved their unprecedented start to the season. Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, and Kendrick Nunn have been the key players, but Tyler Herro and Goran Dragic have also played a massive part. The mutual respect, coupled with a telepathic reading of the game, has propelled them to second in the Eastern Conference, but their results away from the American Airlines Arena mean that this game is by no means as one-sided as it appears. We can see the Heat being cautious, but they’ll probably get their win.

Spread Full Time - Miami Heat -2.5 (25/26)

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