Super Bowl Tips

NFL Super Bowl LV 2021 Preview

Written 5th February 2021

Written By: Michael Grahamslaw

The 2020/21 SuperBowl season has been one of the strangest in history, especially for those who are fond of online betting. However, one team who has had a fantastic season is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with new signings Tom Brady, Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski taking the NFL by storm this campaign. Last season, the Bucs finished third in their section with seven wins and nine defeats, which emphasises their improvement this campaign. On the other hand, we have the Kansas City Chiefs, who won the SuperBowl last year after defeating the San Francisco 49ers with an epic last quarter score of 21, after being 10 points down after three quarters. The match between these two sides earlier in the season was one of the best games of the season, as the Chiefs beat the Bucs 27-24. However, the Chiefs have won their games by a very small margin this season, which bodes well for an exciting SuperBowl.

SuperBowl LV: Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Journey

The 2020/21 campaign began in horrific fashion, as the Bucs stalled due to a series of turnovers and interceptions, as they fell to a defeat against the New Orleans Saints. They then had a fantastic run of form with six wins in seven, the only loss during that period was a 1-point defeat to the Chicago Bears. They then faced the Saints again and this was another stumbling block as they lost 3-38 to take their record to 6-3. Losses to both the LA Rams and their opponents on Sunday took their record to 6-5 and it was believed their SuperBowl dreams were over. However, four wins - including two against minnows Atlanta Falcons - saw them clinch a wildcard spot.

After progressing through to the wildcard playoffs, the Bucs were rewarded with possibly the easiest fixture possible against Washington - the only side to progress despite losing more games than they won. They won that game 31-23, where Leonard Fournette’s rushing was a major thorn in the side of Washington. In their divisional playoff, they faced off against the New Orleans Saints, who had dominated the Bucs in their previous encounters. However, the experience of Brady was immensely important as the Bucs took the lead and ran the clock down fantastically in the final quarter.

Their final game was in the NFL Conference Championships, where they took on the Green Bay Packers in what was a very exciting game. Brady had a poor game and was very predictable in his passing game. However, when Brady doesn’t perform, the Bucs still have enough about them to beat good teams. Devin White was different class defensively and he’ll have to repeat that performance if they wish to beat the Chiefs on Sunday. The Bucs had control of the game from the first quarter and ended up winning the game 31-26. The one difference between last season's team and this season is that they now know how to control a game and run the clock down, which could be incredibly important on Sunday. If the Bucs can be as defensively sound as they were last time out but improve their offensive game, they could cause a shock on Sunday.

Tampa Bay to win: 13/10

SuperBowl LV: Kansas City Chiefs’ Journey

Despite winning their first four games of the season, the Kansas City Chiefs were slow-starters at the beginning of the campaign and had to come from behind in their first two games, as they failed to get on the scoreboard in the first quarter of either. However, if you look at their games, they’re notorious for ending halves with flurries of offence. For reference, in their 19 games this campaign, they’ve won 204 points in the first and third quarter of games, while they’ve picked up 326 in the second and fourth quarters. Kansas’ first defeat of the season came in game five, where they suffered a surprise 40-32 defeat to the Las Vegas Raiders. They then went on a ten-game winning streak which saw them defeat the Bucs 27-24 in week 12. They lost their final game of the season but put out a depleted side against the Los Angeles Chargers. Oddly enough, all of Kansas’ defeats have come at Arrowhead Stadium. In fact, they have lost just one of their last 17 games away from home.

In their postseason, the Chiefs have played both their games at Arrowhead Stadium and have seen relatively convincing victories over the Browns and the Bills. Beating the second seed Buffalo Bills was arguably their biggest achievement of the season so far. However, star quarterback Patrick Mahomes will look back fondly on their fixture against the Bucs earlier in the season. Mahomes threw over 460 yards for three touchdowns.

Top Five Bets For SuperBowl LV

Kansas City Chiefs to Win + Under 56 points - 2/1

Statistically, this bet is one of the best available in regards to potential payouts. Neither side has higher than 50% when it comes to over 56 points and the last two SuperBowls have been typically cagey affairs. There are a number of big names at the event, so the pressure shouldn’t get to the players on the field and with the defences in great form, under 56 points and the Chiefs to become the ninth team to win back to back SuperBowls looks good.

Under 10.5 points in the first quarter - 4/6

Both of these sides are notoriously slow starters in the NFL which could subsequently lead to an awful first quarter. SuperBowls are often low scoring in the first quarter and we’re expecting one touchdown in the first quarter. At 4/6, this is a bet to avoid if you’re not confident, but this is one bet that we’ll be using to fund our in-play bets later in the night.

Mike Evans and Tyreek Hill to score touchdowns - 13/5

Both these players have been phenomenal for their sides this season. Hill has recorded 17 touchdowns and Evans has recorded 13. This doesn’t mean they’re guaranteed to score a touchdown this weekend, but with both players scoring two touchdowns in their game in gameweek 12, this is a fantastic bet at nearly 3/1.

Largest lead under 14.5 points - Evens

If you’re backing a low-scoring, tight affair, then realistically, this bet is a no-brainer. Since 2014, only two SuperBowls have seen leads of 14 points or more at any one time. Neither of those games were as competitive or on-paper looked as close as this fixture.

The odds for this bet are quite high simply due to the fact that this bet loses in over 50% of NFL fixtures, but when you consider the significant difference in level between the best and the worst sides in the NFL, that shouldn’t come as a surprise. l First Turnover to be a fumble - 6/4

We have chosen this selection purely because of the quality in the quarterback position. Mahomes and Brady are known for having pinpoint precision when it comes to their passing. Typically, this bet will usually be an interception, but with the magnitude of this game, we can envision a number of mistakes in the field. Our question is, do we see the first mistake coming from either Mahomes or Brady?

SuperBowl LV - Our Experts Picks for each selection

| Bet | Our selection | |:———-:|:———-:| | Winner | Kansas City Chiefs - 11/20 | | Total Points | Under 52 - 7/5 | | MVP | Patrick Mahomes - 19/20 | | Highest Scoring Quarter | Quarter Two - 8/5 | | Score Touchdown | Leonard Fournette - 6/5 | | Most Passing Yards | Patrick Mahomes - ⅗ | | Most Receiving Yards | Mike Evans - 6/1 | | Longest Rush | Leonard Fournette - 9/4 | | Total Sacks | Under 4.5 - 4/6 |

SuperBowl Previous Winners

Year Winners Score Runners-Up
2020 Kansas City Chiefs 31-20 San Francisco 49ers
2019 New England Patriots 13-3 Los Angeles Rams
2018 Philadelphia Eagles 41-33 New England Patriots
2017 New England Patriots 34-28 Atlanta Falcons
2016 Denver Broncos 24-10 Carolina Panthers
2015 New England Patriots 28-24 Seattle Seahawks
2014 Seattle Seahawks 43-8 Denver Broncos
2013 Baltimore Ravens 34-31 San Francisco 49ers
2012 New York Giants 21-17 New England Patriots
2011 Green Bay Packers 31-25 Pittsburgh Steelers
2010 New Orleans Saints 31-17 Indianapolis Colts

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All odds from the sportsbook correct at time of writing

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