Manchester City v Manchester United Betting Tips
The highly-anticipated Manchester derby is back this weekend on Sunday 11th November, with Pep Guardiola’s reigning Champions looking to do damage against a visibly weak United defence under Jose Mourinho. Indeed, Mourinho’s men came out with a shallow victory against a relatively in-form Bournemouth side, but one in which they should have lost if the first half was anything to go by. With similar shots (on and off target) as well as possession stats, it was a bitter injury-time winner from Marcus Rashford that nicked 3 points away from The Cherries and back to Old Trafford. On the other side of Manchester the following day, Pep Guardiola’s formidable City carried on their outstanding unbeaten run this season as they dominated a struggling Southampton side, whose only consolation came via a Danny Ings penalty. A 6-1 victory in their last outing has definitely put City well in the driving seat to reign victorious over their opposing Manchester rivals in this fixture.
Man City Recent Form (in PL)
As well as being the league’s leading goalscorers and hitting the back of the net 33 times after 11 just games this season, City also leads the league in clean sheets with 7 in 11 games. Conceding just 4 goals after 11 games, this stat only becomes more impressive when considering they’ve faced all but one of the top 5 teams in Arsenal, Spurs and Liverpool. To go one better again, they didn’t even concede a single goal against these teams. On the other hand, the only time Manchester United have played a Top 5 team was when they were beat 3-0 by Tottenham at Old Trafford. Indeed, the Red Devils seem to have lost the fire in their bellies this season. The lack of desire has been shown through their woeful defensive efforts this season, which has seen David De Gea pick the ball out of his net 18 times so far after just 11 games. This is a very worrying stat for Mourinho and United fans, as just last season they’d only conceded 26 goals in 38 games. After 11 games United’s defence has been anything but, achieving just 1 clean sheet so far against a bottom table Burnley side struggling to find any form.
Man United Recent Form (in PL)
The last time these sides met was back in April at the Etihad which seen a 5 goal thriller. In a highly contested match in which City all but sealed the victory by going 2-0 up against United within 30 minutes, a second-half Paul Pogba inspired comeback seen United grab 3 goals and all 3 points. If that thriller was anything to go by, it’s clear that United aren’t going to allow City to walk over them like they’ve done to the vast majority of teams so far this season. Furthermore, with the same fixture as it was in April, there could be an element of Deja Vu for Pep Guardiola and his Blues as Mourinho’s Devils come to the Etihad hungry for 3 points and to find their confidence. It’s fair to say to that a victory against a currently unbeaten City team away from home in the derby would be a perfect opportunity for United to really kickstart their season.
Looking at the last 5 games in which City and United have played each other, whether it’s just within the Premier League or other competitions, they are equally divided. As this fixture is in the league, we will take results from the last 5 PL fixtures.
As well as being equal in results, it’s clear to see that these fixtures have all been relatively low scoring affairs apart from the outlier of the most recent game that seen a 5 goal thriller. Excluding that, there has been just 7 goals in the last 4 games between these teams. Without an unlikely repeat of their most recent meeting with each other, this looks set to be a relatively low-scoring game which will likely produce another “park the bus” performance from Mourinho. However, we’ll probably see the rampant City attack break down a poor United defence at least a couple of times within 90 minutes, which should produce goals if Aguero carries on his form as well as the other members of City’s front-line.
Historically, this fixture has seen many cards which is unsurprising due to the Derby mindset behind these two sides meeting. After 42 games have been played between the sides since the 2007 season, there has been 8 red cards given, with United players seeing red 7 of the occasions. As well as totalling 7 red cards in 42 games against each other, City and United have also racked up 168 yellow cards in that time too, this time with City receiving more (95) than their Manchester rivals.
Averaging a red card every 7 games and 4 yellow cards every time these sides meet, we think the value lies within the discipline of the two teams. Plus, the stakes are only heightened when you consider that United are struggling to find form and could lose their heads if City starts to turn them over as they have done to the majority of teams that they’ve faced this season. Alternatively, City may lose their cool if United take the lead and they feel their unbeaten streak slip away to their bitter Manchester rivals.
Both sides also have a tendency to score in the dying minutes of games. Manchester United have gained notoriety for this in particular, with the phrase “Fergie Time” coined as a homage to their late goal-grabbing tendencies. Indeed, United have scored 5 of their 19 goals this season from the 75th to 90th-minute mark. This is nearly replicated with 6 of City’s goals coming within the same timeframe.
Where and When to Watch Manchester City v Manchester United
You can watch Manchester City take on Manchester United at the Etihad live on Sky Sports at 4:30 on Sunday the 11th of November.
*All odds from 21.co.uk’s online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
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