Written November 15th 2019
Brazilian GP F1 Betting Tips & Preview
The world drivers’ and constructors’ championships might be heading with Mercedes back to Brackley for another year, but there is still plenty on offer at the penultimate race of the season in 2019, with the minor positions in both championships still yet to be decided. The battle for third in the Drivers’ Championship between Charles Leclerc, Max Verstappen and Sebastian Vettel is likely to go to the last race, with Leclerc in the best position to claim the final podium place in the championship and make the end of season FIA awards gala in Paris. There are also positions in the Constructors’ Championship which are yet to be decided. Every position gained results in crucial prize money for the teams and the battle between Toro Rosso and Racing Point, who are currently separated by just a point, is the most closely contested at this stage. Any points that drivers score here in Brazil could prove crucial this late in the season and you can find out who our resident tipster is backing to perform in Brazil as he returns with his latest take on the F1 betting.
Here are our F1 betting tips for the 2019 Brazilian Grand Prix.
Brazilian Grand Prix Formula 1 Betting Tips
Brazilian Grand Prix Qualifying Tip
Mercedes have qualified fastest at Interlagos in every race in the Turbo Hybrid era, with current drivers Hamilton and Bottas claiming the last 3 between them. The team are favourites for one of their drivers to repeat the feat in 2019 as well, but the current competitive order in the sport means that you can’t discount Red Bull or Ferrari either. While the opening and final sectors are predominantly straight which should favour the Scuderia team, the tight and twisting middle sector is likely to favour the Silver Arrows. In normal conditions we would probably back a Mercedes driver to come out on top, however it is worth noting that the Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace is located at a similar altitude to the Red Bull Ring in Spielberg. It has been a consistent theme in recent years that with altitude the Red Bull car seems to perform better. Verstappen qualified third fastest in Austria earlier this year and was fastest in Mexico three weeks ago, both of which are tracks that are hundreds of metres above sea level. We wouldn’t be surprised to see him qualify fastest here either and are backing him to do so at F1 odds of 11/4.
Brazilian Grand Prix Winner Tip
With him being our qualifying tip, it is only natural for us to back Verstappen to win the race as well, although we wouldn’t be surprised to see him win if he starts further back on the grid either. He may have started second in Austria, but a poor start meant he lost multiple places on the opening lap and he still recovered to win the race. He also would have likely been in contention for victory in Mexico as well from fourth on the grid after a penalty in qualifying, but for his incidents with Hamilton and Bottas in the opening exchanges. Rewind to this race last year and you may recall he had turned his fifth place start into a lead before a coming together with Ocon meant he had to settle for second place. All this adds up to us thinking that he may come out on top here at online betting odds of 5/2 but, as always, we wouldn’t rule out Mercedes or Ferrari either come raceday.
Where is the Value?
For our value tip this week we’re going with the same tip that we gave at the US GP and are backing Pierre Gasly to score some valuable points for his Toro Rosso team. The Frenchman was only 2 laps away from a top 10 finish in Austin before he had to retire due to suspension failure. He scored in the two previous races before that and he has been consistently in and around the points paying positions since his return to the Italian outfit. He appears to find his best performances in the Toro Rosso car and you can back him to get another top 10 finish at F1 betting odds of 7/5 in Brazil.
Long Shot of the Weekend
We’re also going with another tip that we’ve backed before for our long shot tip which is for Alexander Albon to finish on the podium at 8/1. The Thai driver has finished in the top 6 in all seven races since his promotion to the senior team and this has seen him do enough to be confirmed as part of their 2020 lineup. While he is yet to reach the podium in his debut season in F1, this may be his best chance to become the first driver since Kevin Magnussen to do so, with Brazil likely to be more favourable than Abu Dhabi to the Red Bull team. The 10 place grid penalty which looms over Charles Leclerc means he should be able to start in the top five if qualifying goes to plan. From there he could reach the podium if others run into trouble and the nature of the opening section in Interlagos has meant the first lap has seen many an incident in the past at previous Grands Prix here. For those bettors who prefer a punt it may be worth a look.
Other Brazilian Grand Prix Bets of Interest
As previously mentioned, Charles Leclerc is likely to be handed a 10 place grid penalty in Brazil for excessive engine component usage. The young Monegasque driver should be able to clear the midfield relatively easily in his Ferrari barring any incidents, but may struggle to make up many places inside the top six without some luck. If that is the case then he will probably be best placed to be able to take a ‘free’ pit stop at the end of the race for some fresh tyres allowing him to seek the fastest lap point. He has managed to achieve four fastest laps to date this season, including two in his last two races, and is only one behind Hamilton who has the most in 2019. We wouldn’t be surprised to see him draw level in terms of season tally in Brazil, which would take the race for the fastest lap award down to the final event in Abu Dhabi. He’s available at F1 odds of 2/1 to do so.
Our final tip this week sees us take a look at a F1 betting market we haven’t previously mentioned in the blog. The practice 1 winner market gives punters an opportunity to bet on the early action in the race weekend, with the winner being the driver that tops the timesheets at the end of the opening practice session. In 2019 every one of these sessions has been topped by a driver in a Mercedes, Ferrari or Red Bull. In the past this hasn’t always been the case, with rain generally throwing unusual results into the mix as some teams bid to save wet weather tyres for qualifying and the race in case they need them. This allows a midfield team the opportunity to step in and there is a chance of that occurring at Interlagos this weekend, but with the forecast dry for the rest of the weekend teams may head out anyway regardless of the weather. As for our pick, we’re going with Lewis Hamilton at 9/5. The Brit has seven practice 1 wins this season and we’re backing him to make that eight this weekend .
Brazilian GP F1 Betting Tips and Predictions
Here are all of 21.co.uk’s F1 tips for the Brazilian Grand Prix.
|Fastest Qualifier||Max Verstappen||11/4|
|Race Winner||Max Verstappen||5/2|
|Top 10 Finish||Pierre Gasly||7/5|
|Podium Position||Alexander Albon||8/1|
|Fastest Lap||Charles Leclerc||2/1|
|Practice 1 Winner||Lewis Hamilton||9/5|
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All odds from our online sportsbook correct at the time of writing.
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